Is NYSE Index Trading At Major Inflection Point?
The stock market continues to trade at elevated levels as traders ring in the first week of the new year.
But there are a few warning signs out there, including one we recently highlighted: Nasdaq’s underperformance.
Today, we look at an important stock market index that is trading at an important level. Below we have a “monthly” chart of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE Composite).
As you can see, the trend is solidly up, creating higher lows and higher highs for the past 40 years. But it is trading at a confluence of resistance, including the top of two rising channels and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level off the 2020 lows at (1).
As well, the MACD indicator is at its highest level in 40 years at (2).
Clearly, bulls would love a breakout at (1). But they will get a little nervous if selling begins at the same price point.
(Click on image to enlarge)
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I've been an admirered of your technical work for more than 10 years now. A MACD normalized to show percent differences of two moving averages rather than nominal would be more realistic as an indicator to support your thesis. An indicator, you likely already know of, is the PPO or Percent Price Oscillator. Thanks for all your insight over the years Chris!
Agreed.