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It’s getting absurd out there. I start my mornings with my shoulders slumped and a groan, not because I dislike trading, but because I know I’m walking into another day where markets swing violently over... a phone call. Not the content of the call, mind you, just the announcement that it might happen. Today, copper rockets three percent and the S&P futures jump, all because someone might say words into a phone. That’s where we are. This is the environment we have to trade in.

Let’s be clear: I’m not just mocking the reaction. I’m frustrated because I’m trying to hold legitimate, structurally sound positions, and instead I’m managing chaos. We see copper - “Dr. Copper,” the eternally reliable indicator of real global growth - behaving like a meme stock. That’s not growth. That’s noise. A three-and-a-half percent move in copper before the market even opens? That’s not fundamental, that’s speculative overreaction. I like copper as a barometer of health, but not when it starts jumping at political shadows.

Same story with silver... 

I’m in and out. I got what I wanted (a clean 50% return) and I’m gone. Because it’s not worth holding onto a position that’s at the mercy of breaking headlines instead of underlying trends. That kind of volatility doesn’t make you bold. It makes you defensive.

And let’s talk risk-reward. S&P from 4800 to 6000—it’s had its run. Could it go higher? Sure. But I’m skewing bearish, not because I’m stubborn, but because it’s smart. It’s my capital on the line, and right now, the upside looks thinner than the downside. We’re one tweet away from a 5% correction. I’m not rooting for it—I’m preparing for it. That’s what pros do.

We’re at peak absurdity with retail riving wild moves intraday - I’m not even sure these people understand how to use 0DTEs. We’re stuck trading against rumors, option flow, and algorithmic noise. It’s hard to find signal in this chaos, but I’ll tell you what helps: discipline. I cut my bond trades today too. Another clean exit, over 50% profit. Why? Because the risk of holding just outweighs the possible gains. That’s how I manage trades in this mess.

Even technicals have a ceiling here. Monkey bars tell me we’ve reached the top of the distribution. We’re not in expansion mode, we’re at resistance. That doesn't mean collapse is imminent, but it means the market is balanced at best and vulnerable at worst.

At the end of the day, this market isn’t trading fundamentals; it’s trading expectations, hope, and headline risk. If you're not adapting, you’re exposed. You don’t need to be a hero. You just need to take what the defense gives you, lock it in, and live to trade the next day.

This is what we do. Not because it’s easy, but because we’re disciplined. But don’t mistake this madness for opportunity. It’s risk, pure and simple. And I’ll keep calling it out, trade by trade.

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