Chipotle Mexican Grill Q3 Preview: Double-Digit Earnings Growth In Store?
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The Zacks Retail & Wholesale sector has struggled to find its footing in 2022, down 28% and lagging behind the S&P 500’s performance.
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One of the most famous names in the sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG - Free Report), is on deck to unveil quarterly results on Oct. 25 after the market close. Chipotle Mexican Grill, together with its subsidiaries, operates quick-casual and fresh Mexican food restaurant chains. We see their restaurants everywhere, and generally with packed customer lines.
Currently, the company sports a favorable Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) paired with an overall VGM Score of a B. How does everything else stack up for the restaurant titan heading into the print? Let’s take a closer look.
Share Performance & Valuation
CMG shares have weathered a dark market cloud better than most in 2022, down roughly 12% vs. the general market’s decline of more than 22%.
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Over the last three months, the price action has been stellar, with CMG shares tacking on a double-digit 14% in value and outperforming the S&P 500 in this timeframe as well.
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Any relative strength is undoubtedly a highlight in a historically-volatile 2022. Further, shares trade at a 4.9X forward price-to-sales ratio, above the five-year median of 4.2X and representing a 312% premium relative to the Zacks Retail and Wholesale sector. CMG carries a Style Score of a D for Value.
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Quarterly Estimates
Analysts have been bullish in their earnings outlook, with four positive earnings estimate revisions coming in over the last several months. The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of $9.11 suggests a year-over-year earnings uptick of nearly 30%.
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Chipotle’s top-line is also in solid standing – the Zacks Consensus Sales Estimate of $2.2 billion indicates revenue growth of 14.4% from the year-ago quarterly sales of $1.9 billion.
Quarterly Performance & Market Reactions
CMG has been on an impressive earnings streak, exceeding the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate in six consecutive quarters. Just in its latest print, the restaurant titan registered a 3% bottom-line beat.
Revenue results have been primarily strong, with Chipotle penciling in four top-line beats across its previous five quarters. Below is a chart illustrating the company’s revenue on a quarterly basis.
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In addition, it’s worth noting that shares have increased twice by double-digit percentages following two of its last three prints. Following the latest release, shares tacked on roughly 13% in value.
Putting Everything Together
CMG shares have displayed a valuable level of defense in 2022, and over the last three months, they’ve soared for a double-digit percentage gain. The company’s valuation multiples could steer away value-focused investors; the company’s forward P/S ratio sits above the five-year median and the Zacks sector average.
Analysts have been bullish on their earnings outlook, and estimates suggest notable year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. CMG has consistently exceeded quarterly estimates, and the market cheered on its previous quarterly release.
Heading into the print, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG - Free Report) carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) with an Earnings ESP Score of 2%.
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