Cannabis Stocks Continue To Reverse Direction
Earlier this month we saw both categories (LPs and MSOs) of the munKNEE Pure-Play "Seed-to-Sale" Pot Stocks Index go UP two weeks in a row but, unfortunately, the turnaround in cannabis stocks did not hold, with the index going DOWN, -6.9%, this past week on top of a -5.5% decline the previous week.
The munKNEE "Seed-to-Sale" Pot Stocks Index consists of:
- the 21 non-ancillary (i.e. pure-play) vertically integrated cannabis companies whose stocks trade for at least US$1/share (4Front Ventures is the only exception), have a market cap of at least US$200M, and trade on one or more of the Canadian and/or American stock exchanges. It includes
- 5 Canadian Licensed Producers (LPs) and
- 16 American Multi-State Operators (MSOs) which, in total,
- represent 10% of the total universe of 207 cannabis and ancillary companies currently trading.
The non-tradable Index gives each constituent the same importance to provide a comparison of the performance of each with the others and the stated sector as a whole.
Please note that each constituent in the analyses below has 5 areas of additional information that are imperative for any individual considering investing in this sector:
- The company name is hyperlinked to its website to provide you with a description of the company and an analysis of its stock.
- The trading symbol is hyperlinked to additional financial data and commentary on the company (where available).
- The "financial distress" percentage is sourced from macroaxis.com (visit the site and type in the stock symbol to obtain detailed financial data on the health of the company).
- The percentage change YTD is hyperlinked to a chart of the company's stock performance.
- The articles hyperlinked are sourced from Stone Fox Capital and/or Technical420 and provide analyses/commentaries on most of the constituents below to help a potential investor with insights into the burgeoning, yet volatile, cannabis sector.
The munKNEE Pure-Play Canadian LP Pot Stock Sub-Index
Below is how the Canadian Licensed Producer constituents performed during the last week of February, in descending order, with their year-to-date performances in brackets:
- Cronos (CRON): +0.3% this past week; (-9.7% YTD)
- Has a 50% chance of going through some form of financial distress in the next two years
- Read:
- Organigram (OGI): -2.6%; (-14.9% YTD)
- Has less than a 1% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years
- Read:
- Tilray (TLRY): -5.2%; (-13.8% YTD)
- Has a +63% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read:
- Canopy Growth (CGC): -7.0%; (-18.0% YTD)
- Has a +61% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read:
- Aurora (ACB): -8.7%; (-30.3% YTD)
- Has a 49% chance of going through some form of financial distress in the next two years
- Read:
The LP Sub-Index went DOWN -5.4% last week and is now DOWN -18.0% YTD and DOWN a whopping -86.6% from its high in 2021.
The munKNEE Pure-Play American MSO Pot Stock Sub-Index
Below is how the American Multi-State Operator constituents performed during the last week of February, in descending order, with their year-to-date performances in brackets:
- 4Front Ventures (FFNTF): +19.4% this past week; (-25.2% YTD)
- Has a 40% probability of financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: 4Front Ventures Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results and Provides Business Update
- Gage Growth (GAEGF): +6.4%; (-7.3% YTD)
- in the process of being acquired by TerrAscend
- TerrAscend (TRSSF): +4.2%; (-6.7% YTD)
- Has a +60% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: TerrAscend: Continue Avoiding This MSO
- Ascend Wellness (AAWH): +0.2%; (-31.8% YTD)
- Has a 50% chance of going through some form of financial distress in the next two years
- Read: Ascend Wellness: New York Wildcard
- Columbia Care (CCHWF): -1.9%; (+7.0% YTD)
- Has a +74% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: NEW: Columbia Care: Major Catalysts
- Columbia Care: Not Helping
- Planet 13 (PLNHF): -2.5%; (-7.1% YTD)
- Has a 25% chance of experiencing some form of financial distress in the next two years of operation
- Valens (VLNS): -5.4%; (-14.7% YTD)
- Has a 50% chance of going through some form of financial distress in the next two years
- Jushi (JUSHF): -5.6%; (+14.5% YTD)
- Has a +62% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read:
- Acreage (ACRDF/ACRHF): -7.3%; (-2.5% YTD)
- Has a +70% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Acreage Holdings: Forgotten MSO
- Ayr Wellness (AYRWF): -9.4%; (-11.1% YTD)
- Has a +62% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Ayr Wellness: Focus On The Big Picture
- Green Thumb (GTBIF): -10.3%; (-14.3% YTD)
- Has less than a 1% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years
- Read: Green Thumb: Not Priced For Future Growth
- Goodness Growth (GDNSF): -10.4%; (+25.7% YTD)
- Has a +63% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Trulieve (TCNNF): -11.0%; (-18.8% YTD)
- Has a 36% probability of financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Trulieve Cannabis: Too Cheap To Ignore Now
- Verano (VRNOF): -11.3%; (+13.8% YTD)
- Has a 39% probability of financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Verano Steals New York License
- Cresco (CRLBF): -12.9%; (-2.8% YTD)
- Has a +62% chance of experiencing financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Cresco Labs: Right On Track In Difficult Market
- Curaleaf (CURLF): -17.3%; (-21.1% YTD)
- Has a 39% probability of financial distress in the next few years of operation
- Read: Curaleaf: Primed For Big 2022 After Indigestion In 2021
The MSO Sub-Index went DOWN -7.2% during the last week of February and is now DOWN -10.9% YTD and DOWN -48.3% from its high in 2021.
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