Airline Stock Roundup: American Airlines' Dull Q2 Guidance, Allegiant's Disappointing April Traffic

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In the past week, American Airlines (AAL - Free Report) management trimmed its earnings per share outlook for second-quarter 2024. CEO Robert Isom stated that the softness pertaining to bookings was due to changes in the airline's sales strategy. Vasu Raja, American Airlines' chief commercial officer, who was spearheading the new sales and distribution strategy, will step down in June.

Allegiant Travel (ALGT - Free Report) reported lackluster traffic numbers for the month of April. United Airlines (UAL - Free Report) was also featured in the news, courtesy of management’s decision to stick to the second-quarter earnings per share guidance provided with first-quarter 2024 results. Latin American carriers Azul (AZUL - Free Report) and Gol Airlines inked a codeshare agreement to boost the Brazilian aviation market.


Recap of the Recent Most Important Stories

American Airlines now expects adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter in the $1-$1.15 band (earlier guidance was in the $1.15-$1.45 range). Second-quarter total revenue per available seat miles is now expected to decline in the 5%-6% band from the year-ago levels (a dip of 1-3% was expected previously). System capacity (measured in available seat miles) is still estimated to increase in the 7%-9% band from second-quarter 2023 actuals.

American Airlines stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

At Allegiant, April’s scheduled traffic (measured in revenue passenger miles) fell 13% from the year-ago month. Capacity (measured in available seat miles) for scheduled service declined 11% from the April 2023 reading. The load factor (the percentage of seats filled by passengers) in April 2024 declined to 82.4% from 84.3% a year ago as the traffic decrease was more than the capacity contraction.

Allegiant was also in the news recently when it reported first-quarter 2024 results, which were covered in detail in the previous Airline Stock Roundup.

United Airlines still expects second-quarter 2024 earnings per share to be in the $3.75-$4.25 band. The Zacks Consensus Estimate, currently pegged at $4.02 per share, is above the mid-point of the guided range.

On a separate note, the Federal Aviation Administration has allowed United Airlines to take delivery of new airplanes. United Airlines was prohibited from doing so earlier in the year after a series of safety-related incidents.

Azul inked a codeshare deal with Gol Airlines to connect flight networks across Brazil. Following the agreement, customers will gain access to many new domestic routes apart from getting many more convenient connection opportunities. For example, passengers can travel from Rio de Janeiro to Marabá with a stop in Belém.


Performance

The following table shows the price movement of the major airline players over the past week and during the last six months.

Zacks Investment Research

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The table above shows that most airline stocks traded in the red over the past week. The NYSE ARCA Airline Index decreased 1.5% to $58.04. Over the course of the past six months, the NYSE ARCA Airline Index has gained 4.7%.


What’s Next in the Airline Space?

With the first-quarter 2024 earnings season over for airlines, the focus will once again shift to news-related updates. Air travel demand is still buoyant, as exemplified by the busy Memorial Day weekend. Airlines for America’s upbeat projection implies that U.S. carriers are likely to be extremely busy during the upcoming summer season. Consequently, updates pertaining to the expansion of networks by various carriers cannot be ruled out in the coming days.


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Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. References to any ...

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