AI Smooth Sailing Until The Tide Turns

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In this video, Samantha LaDuc and Hans Albrecht discuss how September’s macro catalysts (non-farm payrolls, potential large BLS job revisions, and the Sept. 17 FOMC decision) could swing the market, including the odds of a 25–50 bps Fed rate cut and what it would mean for equities, bonds, and the dollar. 

They frame the current tape as “chop” and mostly reversion-to-the-mean: NVDA/MSFT/QQQ pullbacks, an Apple/Google pop on antitrust news, growth-vs-value rotation, sticky long-end yields, and a yield-curve steepener under fiscal dominance, plus risks from a possible Oct. 1 government shutdown and a Q3–Q4 earnings slowdown. 

They highlight thematic trades (gold/silver and miners leadership, selective AI beneficiaries (data/storage names), resilient megacaps, cautious software, skeptical small caps (IWM), improving banks, and China ADRs) while watching corporate issuance/buybacks to power any year-end rally. 

Finally, they outline practical options tactics (collars, put-ratio spreads, term-structure awareness, gamma levels) to navigate volatility and position for inflection points around jobs data and the Fed—an SEO-friendly guide to “Fed rate cuts, yield-curve steepening, AI stocks, gold breakout, China tech, and options strategy” in one fast hour.

Video Length: 00:56:28


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Susan Miller 4 hours ago Member's comment
Your breakdown of September's macro catalysts, including the potential Fed rate cut and its implications for equities, bonds, and the dollar, is insightful. The current market 'chop' and reversion-to-the-mean dynamics, particularly with $NVDA, $MSFT, and $QQQ pullbacks, highlight the complexities investors face. I'm particularly intrigued by the thematic trades you've identified, such as gold/silver leadership, selective AI beneficiaries, and the cautious stance on small caps. Your options strategies, like collars and put-ratio spreads, offer practical tools for navigating this volatility. Thank you for sharing.