Addressing Concentration With The S&P 500 3% Capped Index

Concentration within the S&P 500® has risen sharply in recent years, reaching multi-decade highs (see Exhibit 1) and reflecting broader trends in the U.S. large-cap equity market. As a result, more market participants are actively seeking ways to mitigate concentration risk. The S&P 500 3% Capped Index offers a practical approach by applying a straightforward capping rule: no single company may exceed a 3% weight at each quarterly rebalancing. This methodology enables market participants to measure U.S. large-cap equity performance with reduced concentration relative to the S&P 500.

(Click on image to enlarge)


A key measure of diversification is the diversification ratio, which compares the standalone risk of individual constituents to the total risk of the combined index. A higher ratio reflects enhanced diversification. Intuitively, indices that are highly concentrated or exhibit strong constituent correlations tend to have lower diversification ratios.

Over the past five years, as the S&P 500 became increasingly concentrated, the S&P 500 3% Capped Index consistently delivered positive excess diversification (see Exhibit 2). Interestingly, between December 2022 and December 2024—despite elevated market concentration—constituent correlations within the S&P 500 declined sharply from 40% to 19%.1 This drop in correlation contributed to an increasing diversification ratio during that period.

(Click on image to enlarge)


Beyond diversification, the S&P 500 3% Capped Index was historically more insulated against some of the largest market declines.Exhibit 3 shows that during the S&P 500’s five worst drawdowns over the past 25 years, the S&P 500 3% Capped Index fell less in four out of five instances.

(Click on image to enlarge)


The S&P 500 3% Capped Index’s lower weight in some of the largest names contributed to it being more insulated during periods of market stress. During peak-to-trough periods, the largest companies typically experienced the sharpest declines (see Exhibit 4). For example, in the second-largest drawdown, the average total return from capped companies was -49.0%, more than 2.5 times that of the remaining companies (-18.5%). The S&P 500 3% Capped Index, with lower weight in these names, was less affected.

(Click on image to enlarge)


Lastly, while both indices experienced similar periods of stress, the smaller drawdowns helped the S&P 500 3% Capped Index to recover more quickly than the S&P 500 (see Exhibit 5).

(Click on image to enlarge)


Conclusion

The S&P 500 3% Capped Index follows a transparent, rules-based methodology and seeks to address concentration concerns. By capping individual company index weights, it has historically helped to mitigate the specific risks associated with dominant names and enhance diversification. A lower weight in some of the largest names contributed to the S&P 500 3% Capped Index’s smaller drawdowns during periods of market stress.


1 For more information, see Index Dashboard: Dispersion, Volatility & Correlation.


More By This Author:

Skewing Success
The Evolution Of The S&P/BMV IPC Ecosystem
Navigating Brazil’s Currency Volatility With USD Credit

The posts on this blog are opinions, not advice. Please read our Disclaimers.

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with