6 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of April 19

It was another high week for stocks, but that may be it for the time being. With minimal economic data coming this week, options expiration behind us, and earnings season kicking into high gear, the focus will shift to earnings results and perhaps more important guidance going forward.

The first two weeks of April have been dominated by investors flooding into the mega-cap technology sector again. Everything seemed to change on March 26, when we got that big move higher in the final two hours of trading. Of course, that was the day we found out about Archegos Capital and the blocks of stock that were coming into sale.

Over that time, stocks like Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, and all the mega technology stocks exploded higher, in many cases by more than 10%. The FNGS ETN has risen by more than 15% since that time.

Perhaps when unwinding stocks like Viacom (VIA), many of these investment banks decided to reallocate the dollars into the safety trade of Big Technology. It is possible; the price action would suggest that may have happened.

Since the S&P 500 is heavily weighted toward the mega-caps, the S&P 500 has taken off as well, sending the index surging higher.

S&P 500 (SPY)

The S&P 500 finished the week trading around 4,185 -- which is the upper end of the trend line -- while the RSI is overbought. This should lead to a reversal of the trend, and possibly that move lower towards 3,960 which I have been plotting out for the last few trading sessions.

Amazon (AMZN)

Meanwhile, Amazon has hit up against resistance at $3,420, which has been a potent level since September. There is a perfect chance that the stock fails to advance and instead falls back to $3,050. It appears it may have just come too far, too fast, and now it may be overbought.

Nvidia (NVDA)

Nvidia is similar; rising very quickly and appearing overbought. I always find broadening wedges to be difficult patterns, so I’m not sure which way the broadening wedge will break longer-term. But at least in the short-term, there is a good chance the stock may push lower towards $460 again.

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Disclosure: Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Apple and Tesla.

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