6 Monster Stock Market Predictions – Week Of Nov. 30

There will be a great deal of economic data this week with the ISM reports and jobs data sets. The positive growth trends are expected to remain in November, with some modest signs of slowing. It will be important for expectations to be met.

It would seem many of the big moves we are seeing taking place for some of these stocks is short-covering. Look at the Reuters Most Shorted Index versus the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000.

That is pretty stunning (the red line being the most shorted). A big short-squeeze, for sure.

The list’s names are rather shocking, like Restoration Hardware (RH), Carvana (CVNA), Teladoc (TDOC), Sirius (SIRI), Carnival (CCL), Ubiquiti (UI), Plug Power (PLUG), etc. Anyway, it likely explains a lot.

S&P 500 (SPY)

Overall, the S&P 500 is still stuck in the trading range that started the day Pfizer (PFE) announced its coronavirus vaccine. For now, the 3,650 level is the upper end of the range, which serves as strong resistance until broken.

A break out at that level will likely put us on a path towards 3,710. However, I think this may be the last move higher before seeing a sharp pullback, which would likely takes us back to pre-election levels.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD/BITCOMP)

Bitcoin went through its parabolic phase, and now that is over. The currency broke down this week, and I think it still has further to fall. I’m thinking of a drop to around 13,900. I think that bitcoin can serve as a proxy to the risk-on/risk-off sentiment in the equity market.

Alibaba (BABA)

Alibaba has bounced some in recent days and it is now retaking its uptrend, which is positive. I also saw some bullish options betting in the stock at the start of last week. I think this one will likely fill the gap around $290.

Square (SQ)

Square’s valuation is beyond ridiculous. I ran through all the metrics this week. I don’t know when it will deflate, but it will. I understand the game very well, but the amount of growth this stock will need over the next couple of years to make its valuation justifiable doesn’t even seem remotely reasonable.  It has a PEG ratio of 4.5 for 2022. I think it will pull back to the 20-day moving average around $185.

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Disclosure: MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL.

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