Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 18 And 25
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior | ||
| Observation | |||
| Week of November 18 | |||
| November 18 | |||
| NAHB Index | 45 | 43 | |
| November 19 | |||
| Housing Starts - October | 1.340M | 1.354 | |
| Building Permits | 1.430 | 1.428 | |
| November 21 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 8.0 | 10.3 | |
| Leading Indicators | -0.3 | -0.5 | |
| Existing Home Sales - October | 3.880M | 3.840 | |
| November 22 | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index | 48.8 | 48.5 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r) | 73.5 | 73.0 | |
| Week of November 25 | |||
| November 25 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October | -0.10 | -0.28 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -6.0 | -3.0 | |
| FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
| November 26 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - September | |||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.1% | -0.3 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 4.8 | 5.2 | |
| Consumer Confidence - November | 105.0 | 108.7 | |
| New Home Sales - October | 720K | 738 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.8 | -16.5 | |
| November 27 | |||
| Durable Goods Sales - October | 0.4% | -0.5 | |
| International Trade in Goods - October | -$105.2B | -108.2 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - October | 0.0% | -0.2 | |
| GDP - Q3 (r) | 2.8% | 2.8 | |
| Personal Income - October | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| PCE Price Index | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Core PCE Price Index | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - October | 76.1 | 75.8 | |
| November 29 | |||
| Chicago PMI | 44.4 | 41.6 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 11 And 18
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 28 And Nov. 4
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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