My Favorite Charts Of 2019

We recently published the 2019 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report - a summary of some of our best, worst, and most notable charts of 2019 (and the ones to watch in 2020). 

Already on the blog we've covered the "Charts That Worked" and the "Charts That Didn't Work" last year.  In this post I take you through some of my favorite charts of 2019.

These charts are mostly ones I simply enjoyed coming up with (some of my favourite moments are designing a new chart/indicator which brings a completely new perspective or insight).  Certainly, a lot of these will be worth watching in the months and years ahead.

Format note: each chart has a comment on the chart, the date when it first appeared, and a quote from the original report which it appeared in.

1. One that quickly became (in)famous (especially given the prevailing sentiment at the time).  It shows the global policy pivot portending a PMI pop. Time will tell whether it will be one for section A (good calls) or B (bad calls) in next year’s End of Year Special edition! 

(30 Aug 2019)  “the net number of central banks in rate cut mode against the global manufacturing PMI: it seems to operate with about an 8-month lead; not a perfect track record but pretty good, and it’s pointing to a decent rebound later this year/early next year.”


2. This was one of the new sets of indicators I built this year, and one of the first insights it helped generate was presenting a harbinger that the Fed needed to pivot back to rate cuts given the collapse in inflation expectations.

(29 Mar 2019)  “Looking at the all-indicators composite inflation expectations indicator, it seems to line up fairly well with the direction of the Fed funds rate (YoY change), thus the easing in inflation expectations arguably justifies a more dovish stance.”


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Bill Johnson 9 months ago Member's comment

These charts are definitely worthwhile. Thanks for sharing.