USD/CAD Extends Downside To Near 1.3200 On Stellar Canadian Retail Sales

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  • USD/CAD has dropped sharply to near 1.3210 as Canadian Retail Sales have expanded to 1.1% vs. 0.2% as expected.
  • Oil prices are expected to show some action after the release of the oil inventory data for the week ending June 16.
  • The US Dollar Index is demonstrating signs of sheer contraction in volatility as investors are awaiting commentary from Jerome Powell.

The USD/CAD pair has witnessed selling pressure as Statistics Canada has reported surprisingly higher Retail Sales data (April). The economic data has expanded by 1.1% while the street was anticipating an expansion of 0.2%. Last month, Canadian Retail Sales contracted by 1.5%.

Upbeat Retail Sales data might force the Bank of Canada (BoC) to raise interest rates further as higher households' demand would eventually propel price pressures.

Analysts at CIBC affirm that some cracks appeared within the Canadian labor market in May, but these “may not yet be wide enough to convince the Bank of Canada that inflation is about to meaningfully cool off.”

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have extended their losses as the market mood is turning precautionary ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is demonstrating signs of sheer contraction in volatility as investors are expected to build fresh positions after assessing commentary from Jerome Powell.

Investors are keenly focusing on whether Jerome Powell will stick to its prior guidance of pushing interest rates further by 50 basis points (bps) this year or to remain data-dependent.

On the oil front, oil prices are expected to show some action after the release of the oil inventory data by the United States American Petroleum Institute (API) for the week ending June 16.

It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and higher oil prices will support the Canadian Dollar.
 

USD/CAD

OVERVIEW
Today last price 1.3223
Today Daily Change -0.0012
Today Daily Change % -0.09
Today daily open 1.3235
TRENDS
Daily SMA20 1.3414
Daily SMA50 1.3459
Daily SMA100 1.351
Daily SMA200 1.352
LEVELS
Previous Daily High 1.327
Previous Daily Low 1.3206
Previous Weekly High 1.3384
Previous Weekly Low 1.3178
Previous Monthly High 1.3655
Previous Monthly Low 1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3245
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.323
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3204
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3173
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.314
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3268
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3301
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3332

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