Truth Social Threat

Truth Social Link: If Governor Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a “Drop Off Port” for China to send goods and products into the United States, he is sorely mistaken. China will eat Canada alive, completely devour it, including the destruction of their businesses, social fabric, and general way of life. If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be hit with a 100% Tariff against all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S.A. Thank you for your attention to this matter!
President DJT

King Deal is Back

The Wall Street Journal reports Trump Threatens New Tariffs on Canada Over China

President Trump threatened a major escalation in a brewing trade war against Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government, warning that the U.S. would impose 100% tariffs on all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S. if “Canada makes a deal with China.”

Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform Saturday that if “Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a ‘Drop Off Port’ for China to send goods and products into the United States, he is sorely mistaken.” Trump added, “China will eat Canada alive, completely devour it, including the destruction of their businesses, social fabric, and general way of life.”

Trump’s trade threats against the northern U.S. neighbor were the latest in a war of words between the Trump administration and Carney’s government over Carney’s attempt to push smaller global powers to fight back against the aggressive use of U.S. economic clout.

Trump, in his Davos address this week, accused Carney of not being grateful enough to the U.S., saying in pointed comments, “Canada lives because of the United States.” He added, “Remember that Mark, the next time you make your statements.”

On Thursday, Trump said in a social-media post that he had revoked Canada’s invitation to join his Board of Peace, a proposition Carney said he was considering but hadn’t accepted.

China is Canada’s second-largest trading partner, with two-way annual trade of roughly $80 billion—or less than one-tenth of the $1 trillion in U.S.-Canada trade over a 12-month period.

Fen Hampson, an international politics professor at Ottawa’s Carleton University, said Carney’s trade resolution with China represents a hedge in the event Canada and the U.S. can’t salvage the existing U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade pact, or USMCA, on favorable terms. That deal will be renegotiated this year, and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said this week that deepening Canada-China trade relations could pose a roadblock toward a successful USMCA renegotiation.

“Canada has decided to take its gloves and play hardball,” Hampson said, adding that Canada is the U.S.’s biggest export market. “The calculation here is to really up the ante, and call it the way it is.”

Global Leadership

Could the contrast between Carney & Trump be any more stark? Proud of our very smart, very rational, very calm 🇨🇦 PM. He is definitely ‘the man for the moment’.

— 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇨🇦Margaret Anscombe🇨🇦🇺🇦 (@MargaretAnscom6) January 20, 2026

Understanding the Supreme Court Delay

I was pretty confident there would be a decision in January. Well, that has come and gone. The next chance now is February 20.

The conventional wisdom is the longer the delay, the more likely Trump wins.

I don’t believe that’s true.

My constitutional expert friend made this comment: “All justices have right to respond to whatever any other justice writes in an opinion. This back-and-forth can take quite a long time.“

Add to that observation, Chief Justice Roberts will want the opinion written in a way that is least upsetting to Trump as possible.

Finally, the Court may be wrestling not with the opinion itself, but the process of refunds, if any, and who controls them.

Those are three good explanations, and they can all be true.

And while I do not think threatening Canada will change the decision (because it’s already against Trump), it should matter because this is insane madness.

Perhaps it influences some of the written back-and-forth. Or perhaps it persuades a justice (hello Kavanaugh) to make the case 7-2 against Trump instead of 6-3.

November 16, 2025: What Are the Odds the Supreme Court Rules Against Trump on Tariffs?

The Supreme Court decision is not random. I discuss a framework.

My take then was 75-25 against Trump. I expect a 6-3 ruling. Click for an analysis justice-by-justice.

I am still 75-25. Nothing has changed.

January 6, 2026: If the Supreme Court Rejects Trump’s Tariffs, What Are His Options?

I count seven options Trump is likely to try. There are serious problems with all of them.

January 13, 2026: If the Supreme Court Rejects Trump’s Tariffs, How Big Might Refunds Be?

US customs trade data, compared to Trump’s Truth Social claim.

I doubt the Supreme Court takes Trump’s Canada tariff threat into consideration. But I hope they do. It’s relevant.

Related Posts

January 20, 2026: I Salute Mark Carney’s Speech About Trump at Davos. Canadians Should be Proud

Thank you Prime Minister Mark Carney!

Read the post and play the speech.

January 18, 2026: We Are Now Bearing the Poisoned Fruit of Trump’s Self-Proclaimed Morality

Trump says his own morality is the only check on his power.

We found that out long ago.

Reader Comment Addendum

Reader: The US negotiated a trade deal with China in November. Canada negotiated their deal with China in January. Of course, Canada is negotiating with as many countries as possible now. Carney has been crisscrossing the globe seeking new trade alliances since he came into office. 

Mish: Thanks for an excellent observation.
To that I will add, this is why Trump needs Venezuelan oil.
But that’s not so easy is it?

January 5, 2026: How Long Will it Take to Ramp Up Production of Venezuelan Oil?

Here are responses from AI, the WSJ, and an energy investor who posts on my blog.

January 6, 2026: What Are the Odds that the US Can Successfully Run Venezuela?

History is not kind to the idea. Nonetheless, let’s investigate a current take.

January 12, 2026: Trump Is “Probably Inclined to Keep Exxon Out” of Venezuela

Trump has a hissy fit because Exxon called Venezuela uninvestable.

In the FWIW department, I think oil has bottomed. And I expect to see a strong jump higher next week on this news.

More By This Author: