Today I will begin with my monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of my forecast is based upon 20 years' worth of research of Forex prices, which demonstrate that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:

• Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the past six months.
• Trading against very strong weekly counter-trend movements by currency pairs made during the previous week.
• Carry Trade: Buying currencies with high interest rates and selling currencies with low interest rates.

Let us look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:

Monthly Forecast - March 2022

For the month of February, I forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair would fall in value. The final performance to date of that forecast was very profitable:

For the month of March, I again forecast that the EUR/USD currency pair will fall in value.

Weekly Forecast for Sunday, March 6, 2022

In my previous forecast last week, I forecasted that the GBP/NZD currency cross would likely rise in value, as it fell so strongly against its long-term trend over the previous week. Unfortunately, its price fell again by 2.99%.

I will make no forecast for next week, as there were no sufficiently strong counter-trend price movements over the past week.

The Forex market saw its level of directional volatility increase strongly last week, with 78% of all the important currency pairs or crosses moving by more than 1% in value. Directional volatility is likely to remain very strong or increase further over this coming week due to dramatic events in Ukraine as the Russian invasion continues.

Last week was dominated by relative strength in the Swiss franc, and relative weakness in the euro.

Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

I teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that can be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week.

That is all for this week. You can trade my forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account to test the strategies and strengthen your self-confidence before investing real funds.