Freepik

In the long term, a bearish trend is forming for Alibaba (BABA) shares.

We see the final part of the completed actionary wave y and the second small intervening wave x, both of these waves are double zigzags.

At the time of writing the review, the formation of the final actionary wave z is taking place, which, most likely, will take the form of a primary zigzag Ⓐ-Ⓑ-Ⓒ.

There is a high probability that the primary impulse Ⓐ and the correction Ⓑ have already been fully completed, so we can expect a decline to 50.07 in the sub-wave Ⓒ consisting of sub-waves (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5). At the specified mark, wave z will be at 38.2% of wave y.

Let’s consider an alternative scenario in which only the first two zigzag sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ are completed within the intervening wave x.

At the moment, the market is in a wave Ⓨ, which may take a zigzag structure (A)-(B)-(C) of the intermediate degree, as shown in the chart. Impulse (A) and correction (B) look formed.

Bulls in the intermediate wave (C), consisting of minor sub-waves 1-2-3-4-5, can lead the price to 140.57. At that level, cycle intervening wave x will be at 38.2%  of actionary wave y.

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