AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears Take Control As Pair Slips Below 20-day SMA

By Patricio Martín of FX Street

Where Forex Never Rests • Feb 17, 2025 at 4:41 PM EST

AUD/JPY declines by 0.42% to 96.30 on Monday, extending its recent losing streak.

10 and one 10 us dollar bill

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AUD/JPY continued its downward movement on Monday, losing 0.42% to settle around 96.30. The break below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) reinforces the weakening trend, as buyers struggle to regain momentum. The pair has now given up most of its recent gains, with sellers gaining traction.

Momentum indicators paint a bearish picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen sharply to 48, reflecting increased downside pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows decreasing green bars, suggesting that bullish attempts are fading. The pair’s inability to hold above the 20-day SMA indicates that selling momentum could intensify.

If the downward trend persists, the next key support lies around 96.00, followed by 95.50. On the upside, buyers would need to push AUD/JPY back above the 20-day SMA near 96.60 to regain short-term control and shift sentiment toward a more neutral stance.

AUD/JPY daily chart

(Click on image to enlarge)

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