Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 6 And 13
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of October 6 |
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October 7 |
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JOLTS - August |
4.700M |
4.673 |
4.710 |
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Consumer Credit - August |
$21.0B |
26.0 |
20.0 |
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October 9 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
300K |
287 |
293 |
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Wholesale Inventories - August |
0.3% |
0.1 |
0.3 |
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Wholesale Sales |
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October 10 |
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Export Prices - September |
-0.1% |
-0.5 |
-0.1 |
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Import Prices |
-0.9 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
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Import Prices, ex-Energy |
0.0 |
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Treasury Budget - September |
$82.0B |
-128.7 |
72.0 |
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Week of October 13 |
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October 15 |
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Producer Price Index - September |
0.0% |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
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PPI Core |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
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Energy |
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Retail Sales - September |
0.0% |
0.6 |
-0.1 |
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Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
20.5 |
27.54 |
21.5 |
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Business Inventories - August |
0.4% |
0.4 |
0.4 |
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October 16 |
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Industrial Production - August |
0.4% |
-0.1 |
0.3 |
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Capacity Utilization |
79.1 |
78.8 |
78.9 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.5 |
22.5 |
19.5 |
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NAHB Index |
59 |
59 |
59 |
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October 17 |
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Housing Starts - September |
1.018M |
0.956 |
1.016 |
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Building Permits |
1.035 |
0.998 |
1.023 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p) |
84.6 |
84.6 |
84.2 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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