Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 13 And 20
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of October 13 |
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October 14 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - September |
96.1 |
96.1 |
95.8 |
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October 15 |
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Producer Price Index - September |
0.0% |
0.0 |
0.1 |
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PPI Core |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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Retail Sales - September |
0.0% |
0.6 |
-0.1 |
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Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
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NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
20.5 |
27.54 |
20.5 |
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Business Inventories - August |
0.4% |
0.4 |
0.4 |
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October 16 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
290K |
287 |
290 |
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Industrial Production - August |
0.4% |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
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Capacity Utilization |
79.1 |
78.8 |
79.0 |
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Manufacturing |
0.4 |
-0.4 |
0.4 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.5 |
22.5 |
20.0 |
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NAHB Index |
59 |
59 |
59 |
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October 17 |
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Housing Starts - September |
1.016M |
0.956 |
1.012 |
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Building Permits |
1.035 |
0.998 |
1.027 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p) |
84.4 |
84.6 |
84.4 |
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Week of October 20 |
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October 21 |
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Existing Home Sales - September |
5.09M |
5.05 |
5.09 |
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October 22 |
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Consumer Price Index - September |
0.1% |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
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Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
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Energy |
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October 23 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
57.5 |
57.5 |
57.0 |
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FHFA House Price Index - August |
0.4% |
0.1 |
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Leading Indicators |
0.6% |
0.2 |
0.7 |
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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index |
6.0 |
6.0 |
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October 24 |
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New Home Sales - September |
.480M |
504 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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