Today's Trading Plan: It's Okay
Technical Outlook:
- SPX (SPX) rallied big yesterday as a result of the Federal Reserve deciding to hold off on any interest rate hike until after the election.
- Bank of Japan had minimal effect, but it was thew Fed's "we should hike, but won't" policy comments that really goosed the market.
- SPX rallied to near the 50-day moving average, but failed to break through or even test it at this point. This morning, it is looking at a gap above it.
- Resistance had been in the area of 2155 to 2170. That area should be eclipsed this morning.
- At this point, the market is bent on re-testing the all-time highs, if not going right past them. The Nasdaq actually established new all-time highs yesterday.
- 20-day moving average was also tested yesterday, and SPX broke through it.
- Oil (CL/F) continues to rally strong over the course of the last two days and looks to do the same again today.
- SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) saw its volume increase as well as trade above recent averages.
- Most impressive yesterday was the absolute meltdown in the VIX taking it down 16.5% to 13.3. A massive change from where it was just a couple of weeks ago.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average) saw a large bump higher - rising 39% to 45.54.
My Trades:
- Added one new long position to the portfolio yesterday.
- Closed SPXU at 23.47 for a 3.1% loss.
- Closed QID at 24.51 for a 1.4% loss.
- May add 1-2 new swing-trades to the portfolio today.
- Currently 20% Long / 10% Short / 70% Cash
Chart for SPX:
Disclosure: None.
Thanks for sharing