Most Traders Just Wasted One Of Their 12 Best Days This Year
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On Oct. 17, I watched another third Friday slip by while 99% of traders had no idea what they were missing. Here's the calendar secret that separates consistently profitable traders from the rest.
You get 12 opportunities per year to trade in an environment where everything is different. Higher volatility. Tighter spreads. Maximum liquidity. Options expiring on every major stock. This past Friday was one of those days. And if you weren't specifically hunting 8-over-20 EMA crossovers on the three-minute charts with zero-day options, you probably missed it entirely.
Why Monthly Expiration Changes Everything
When I rolled into my childhood house Friday morning (it's a long story, power was out at the new place), I knew exactly what type of day we were facing. Oct. 17, 2025. Monthly options expiration across the entire market.
This created a trading environment that literally doesn't exist at any other time. Every major stock had options expiring that day. That forced massive position adjustments, created artificial volatility, and gave us opportunities that simply don't exist on random Tuesdays.
The banking sector was getting crushed on credit concerns. But here's what most traders missed - Zions, Western Alliance, the KRE ETF, and JPMorgan all had options expire on Friday. That changed everything.
The 8-Over-20 Strategy That Actually Works
While everyone else was trying to predict which way the banks would move, I was watching for something much more mechanical: The 8-day EMA crossing over the 20-day EMA on the three-minute chart. No complex analysis. No forecasting. Just waiting for that crossover and buying whatever's in-the-money at that exact moment.
Why does this work? Because expiration day creates artificial technical setups. The massive options flow and position adjustments create predictable price action around these moving averages.
Earlier this week, I mentioned our SPY trade - $3.10 calls that hit $10 in four and a half hours. That wasn't genius, that was just understanding how expiration mechanics work.
The Defensive Play Nobody Talks About
Friday morning, while banks were getting hammered, I was watching consumer defensives, such as Keurig Dr Pepper and Walmart.
When liquidity gets sucked out of one sector, it has to flow somewhere else. During February's selloff, money flowed into Keurig Dr Pepper. The same pattern was seen on Friday: Keurig Dr Pepper's 8-day moving over the 20-day EMA, while banking stress sparked a rotation into defensives.
A 23-cent move from $27.50 to $27.73 doesn't sound too exciting. Unless you're holding zero-day options with maximum time decay working for you instead of against you. Then it's a 27% return in hours.
What You Actually Missed on Friday
By 1 PM, the pattern was clear. Classic expiration day squeeze-and-fade. Markets opened down hard, squeezed higher on positioning adjustments, then started fading as funds sold back into strength.
The VIX hit 25 that morning, before it backed off to 23. Banking stress created rotation opportunities. Gold hit new records. Everything behaved exactly like it should on maximum expiration day.
But none of that matters if you weren't hunting the right setups. Most traders spent the day trying to predict market direction. The smart money was trading the mechanics of expiration day itself.
The Calendar Edge You're Ignoring
I don't care about trading every day. Instead, I care about trading the days where the entire market structure changes in my favor.
Monthly expiration creates artificial opportunities. Maximum open interest. Forced position adjustments. Predictable technical patterns around key moving averages. It's not about being smarter than the market, it's about understanding when market mechanics work for you instead of against you.
Next month's expiration is Nov. 15, 2025. Mark your calendar. Study the 8-over-20 crossover strategy. Learn to identify which sectors are rotating.
Because while everyone else is trying to day-trade their way to consistency, you'll be waiting for the 12 days that actually matter. The market gives you 250+ trading days per year. But only 12 offer this specific edge. Most traders waste them entirely.
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