ETF Strategies To Brave The Second Wave Of Coronavirus Infections

Wall Street is now clouded by rising worries over the resurgence of the coronavirus infections in the United States. In fact, the S&P 500 lost 5.9% on June 11, marking its worst one-day fall since March 16. It was also the index’s fifth fall of at least 5% in the past three-month period. Going by Johns Hopkins University data, the number of U.S. coronavirus infections passed the grim mark of two million and more than 113,700 Americans have lost their lives. The seven-day average of new cases continued to spike in more than 20 states over the last two weeks, despite lesser number of cases being recorded in some cities and states. The surging cases might lead to Houston-area officials re-imposing stay-at-home orders (per Bloomberg News) .

The Center for Disease Control and Prevention forecasts between 118,000 and 143,000 coronavirus deaths in the United States by June 27 (per a CNN report). Moreover, a White House model has predicted that the death toll in the United States could reach 169,890 by Oct 1, with a probable range of about 133,000-290,000 deaths (per a CNN report).

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell maintained a dovish stance in the FOMC meeting concluded on June 10. He informed that there is no expectation of a rate hike through 2022. The Fed has pledged to continue pumping in stimulus to support the economy and strengthen it. The central bank has also reiterated that the Fed funds rate would likely stay in the 0-0.25% range and confirmed continued bond-buying. The central bank forecasts the unemployment rate to fall to 9.3% by the end of this year. Though the figure is down from May’s 13.3%, it will be noticeably above the 3.5% recorded in February — a near 50-year low.

The unemployment rate will later likely improve to 6.5% in 2021. The U.S. GDP was projected to shrink 6.5% this year before rebounding 5% next year and 3.5% in 2022. Inflation was forecast to remain below the Fed’s 2% target through 2022.

In such a scenario, investors can take a look at the following ETF strategies to combat the ongoing coronavirus crisis:

Try the Inverse ETFs

The pandemic-induced volatility can boost demand for inverse or inverse leveraged ETFs. These products either create a short position or a leveraged short position in the underlying index through the use of swaps, options, future contracts and other financial instruments. Due to their compounding impact, investors can earn higher returns in a shorter period of time, provided the trend remains favorable. However, these funds run the risk of huge losses compared with the traditional funds in fluctuating markets. So, investors intending to play against the tumbling Dow Jones, might tap ProShares Short Dow 30 DOG, ProSharesUltraShort Dow30 DXD  and ProSharesUltraPro Short Dow30 SDOW (read: Inverse ETFs Gain on Powell's Economic Warning).

Dividend ETFs to the Rescue

In a low-interest rate environment, dividend investing becomes a hot spot. Against this backdrop, dividend ETFs like WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund DGRW, FlexShares Quality Dividend Defensive Index Fund QDEF, WBI Power Factor High Dividend ETF WBIY and Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF SCHD might be compelling picks (read: A Quick Guide to Dividend Aristocrat ETFs).

The Most Popular Safe Haven: Gold ETFs

Price of precious metals like gold rises during turbulent market conditions as these are considered safe-haven assets. In the present low-rate environment, gold should do well. Gold ETFs mostly move in tandem with gold prices. The SPDR Gold Shares GLD, iShares Gold Trust IAU, SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust GLDM  and GraniteShares Gold Trust BAR are some of the popular ETFs (read: Winning ETF Strategies to Fight a Weak Dollar).

Bet on Low-Volatility ETFs

Demand for funds with “low volatility” or “minimum volatility” generally increases during tumultuous times. These seemingly-safe products generally do not surge in bull market conditions but offer protection against the unpredictable ones. Providing more stable cash flow than the overall market, these funds are less cyclical in nature. Here are some options  iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA ETF USMV, Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF SPLV, iShares Edge MSCI EAFE Minimum Volatility ETF EFAV, iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol Global ETF ACWV, Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF SPHD (read: Is it the Right Time to Invest in Minimum Volatility ETFs?).

Play the Non-Cyclical Consumer Staple Sector

This non-cyclical sector is likely to be less hammered by any market crash. The sector can emerge as a true safe haven amid the latest crisis, as even people on self-quarantine need daily essentials. Investors can consider The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund XLP, Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF VDC, iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF IYK and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF RHS (read: Walmart Delights Investors: ETFs in Focus).

Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. References to any specific ...

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