Black Swans And Hedging
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is hedging — protecting — its balance sheet for another black swan event by adding to its gold position aggressively. It’s not hard to be aggressive when gold was below $1,000 the last time that the precious-metals-to-commodities ratio was at current levels. What happened next was new all-time highs.
Palantir spent $50.7 million on gold bars in August. Not paper contracts that can be manipulated, real bars stored in a secure location. Shyam Sankar, the chief operating officer, said it was preparing for a future with more black swan events.
What kind? They’re black swans and just like no one can predict when the gold price will hit new highs, no one can predict a black swan event. Hence the term. I’ve said for years the Titanic version — where it’s obvious what’s going to happen if you’re paying a little attention — is a blow up in the bond market either in Europe or here.
What does Palantir do? It makes software used by governments and businesses. Software that helps governments and corporations navigate through and hopefully prepare for black swan events. It also has approximately $2.3 billion in cash.
Not to be outdone, Coinbase Global (COIN) announced that it will buy $500 million in cryptocurrency and allocate 10% of its quarterly profits into crypto assets as a way to — you guessed it — hedge (protect) its portfolio. Coinbase says it worries about a devalued dollar and inflation. Coinbase has approximately $4 billion in cash.
Last but not least: uranium. The recent pullback that’s nearing its end is likely weeks from ending and if you currently do not have uranium exposure in your portfolio, now is the time to add. The latest TD Securities supply/demand model now estimates a cumulative net -84 million pound supply shortfall over five years (2020-2024).
The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SRUUF) has accumulated nearly 21 million pounds of uranium for a total net asset value of approximately $789 million. Sprott is doing for uranium what it has done for gold and silver, providing a way for retail investors to gain direct exposure to physical uranium without the headache of taking delivery.
The summer doldrums will soon be behind us, tax-loss selling seems to be starting sooner and sooner every year, and I plan on making sure the portfolio is positioned where the puck is going, not where it’s been.
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