5 Defensive ETF Strategies To Follow Amid Market Meltdown

Mockup, Typewriter, Word, Money, Wall Street, Etf

Image Source: Pixabay


Wall Street has suffered a brutal market rout, weighed down by ongoing tariff disputes, surging inflation concerns and growing recessionary fears. The meltdown has erased a staggering $4 trillion in market capitalization from the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to the brink of a correction, which is defined as a decline of 10% from its high. The possibility of a government shutdown later this week also added to the chaos.

Further, many Wall Street analysts have raised concerns about stagflation, where growth stagnates, inflation remains high and unemployment rises. JPMorgan (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) have reduced their respective economic growth targets, citing the anticipated effects of restrictive trade and immigration policies.

Traders are betting that the U.S. economy has lost steam and is on the verge of sliding toward a recession. The surveys and sentiment indicators in recent weeks have been soft, underscoring the ongoing weakness in the economy. The tariffs will raise prices for U.S. consumers and dampen economic growth.

PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian told Yahoo Finance that he now sees a 25% to 30% chance of the U.S. economy entering into recession this year, up from a 10% chance seen before the Trump tariff bonanza began. Betting markets are pricing in an increasing chance that the US economy tips into recession, with Polymarket placing the odds that a U.S. recession is officially called by year-end at roughly 40% as of Monday, up from a 23% chance as of Feb. 27.

In such a scenario, investors should bet on defensive investments. A defensive investment minimizes risk and protects the portfolio during market downturns. It typically involves investing in stable, low-volatility stocks that have a history of consistent performance, even during economic downturns.

As such, we have highlighted five such strategies:


Focus on Dividends

Dividend-paying stocks provide a steady income stream and help mitigate potential losses during weaker market periods. These stocks offer the best of both worlds — safety in the form of payouts and stability in the form of mature companies that are less volatile to large swings in stock prices. The companies that pay dividends generally act as a hedge against economic uncertainty and provide downside protection by offering outsized payouts or sizable yields on a regular basis.

In particular, high-quality dividend stocks with a history of consistent dividend payments and growth can offer both income and the potential for capital appreciation over the long term. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG - Free Report) and iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO - Free Report) fit well in this category. VIG has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and DGRO has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy).


Pick Low-Beta ETFs

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility relative to the market. Low-beta stocks tend to have lower price fluctuations than the market, providing stability during market downturns. A beta of 1 indicates that the price of the stock or fund tends to move with the broader market. A beta of more than 1 indicates that the price tends to move higher than the broader market and is extremely volatile, while a beta of less than 1 indicates that the price of the stock or fund is less volatile than the market.

That said, low-beta products exhibit greater levels of stability than their market-sensitive counterparts and will usually lose less when the market crumbles. Core Alternative ETF (CCOR - Free Report) , with a beta of 0.09, and Innovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF (BALT - Free Report) , with a beta of 0.10, could be compelling picks.


Add Value

Value investing is an investment strategy that focuses on purchasing stocks that are undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks seek to capitalize on market inefficiencies and have the potential to deliver higher returns with lower volatility compared with their growth and blend counterparts. They are less susceptible to trending markets, and their dividend payouts offer safety in times of market turbulence.

Given this, Vanguard Value ETF (VTV - Free Report) , iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD - Free Report) and SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF (SPYV - Free Report) , having a Zacks ETF Rank #1 or #2, could be excellent picks.


Invest in Defensive Sectors

Certain sectors, such as consumer staples, utilities and healthcare, tend to be less sensitive to economic cycles and more resistant to market downturns. These generally act as a safe haven during political and economic turmoil. Stocks in these sectors generally provide higher returns in troubled times.

Investors seeking exposure to these sectors could find Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP - Free Report) , Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU - Free Report) and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT - Free Report) intriguing. While XLP has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold), XLU and VHT have a Zacks ETF Rank #1 each.


Buy Defined Outcome ETFs

Defined outcome ETFs, also known as buffered ETFs, use options strategies to limit downside risk while capping potential gains. These ETFs are designed to provide a predetermined range of returns over a specific period, offering investors a way to navigate volatile markets with more certainty. FT Vest Laddered Buffer ETF (BUFR - Free Report) is among the most popular ones in this space. Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETFs are also popular options. Innovator offers a series of defined outcome ETFs, each with specific outcome periods and buffer levels.


More By This Author:

Investors Flock To Cash-Like ETFs Amid Market Turmoil
5 Top-Ranked S&P 500 Stocks To Buy At A Bargain: NVDA, CCL, And More
Nasdaq Enters Correction: 5 Bargain Stocks In The ETF

Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. References to any ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with