4 ETF Zones To Invest In As Volatility Spikes
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Wall Street saw wild swings last week with the return of volatility triggered by sooner-than-expected rate hike signals and higher inflation expectation. The Federal Reserve turned hawkish in its latest FOMC meeting, indicating two interest rate hikes by the end of 2023, sooner than previously expected.
Investors worried that if the Fed tightens monetary policy sooner than expected to help cool inflationary pressures this could weigh on future economic growth. This concern will continue to linger this year and thus led to a decline in stocks.
Additionally, it caused the flattening of the yield curve, which means that the yields of shorter-duration treasuries like the 2-year note increased while longer-duration yields like the benchmark 10-year declined. The retreat in long-dated bond yields reflects less optimism toward economic growth and the jump in short-end yields shows expectations of the Fed raising rates.
As such, the Dow Jones plunged 3.5%, its consecutive second weekly fall and marks the worst week since October, while the S&P 500 shed 1.9% for the week, ending a three-week winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite Index saw a weekly loss of 0.3%, snapping its four-week rally. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped more than 32% last week. It implies that market worries have started to set in. This fear gauge tends to outperform when markets are declining or fear levels pertaining to the future are high.
Earlier-than-expected tightening has prompted investors to re-access their portfolio, leading to higher demand for lower-risk securities. As a result, we have highlighted four such zones and their popular ETFs where investors could stash their money amid this volatility:
Low Volatility - iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA ETF (USMV - Free Report)
Low-volatility ETFs have the potential to outpace the broader market in an uncertain market environment, providing significant protection to the portfolio. This is because these funds include more stable stocks that have experienced the least price movement in their portfolio. Further, these allocate more to the defensive sectors that usually have a higher distribution yield than the broader markets.
While there are several options, USMV with AUM of $27.4 billion and an average daily volume of 3 million shares is the most popular ETF. The fund charges 15 bps in annual fees and has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook.
Quality - iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL - Free Report)
Quality stocks are rich in value characteristics with a healthy balance sheet, high return on capital, low volatility, elevated margins, and a track of stable or rising sales and earnings growth. These products thus reduce volatility when compared to plain vanilla funds and hold up rather well during market swings.
With AUM of $21 billion, this fund provides exposure to large and mid-cap stocks exhibiting positive fundamentals (high return on equity, stable year-over-year earnings growth, and low financial leverage) by tracking the MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index and holds 125 stocks in its basket. The ETF charges 15 bps in annual fees and trades in an average daily volume of 911,000 shares.
Value – Vanguard Value ETF (VTV - Free Report)
Value stocks have proven to be outperformers over the long term and are less susceptible to trending markets. These stocks have strong fundamentals — earnings, dividends, book value, and cash flow — that trade below their intrinsic value and are undervalued. These have the potential to deliver higher returns and exhibit lower volatility compared with their growth and blend counterparts.
This fund targets the value segment of the broad U.S. stock market and follows the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index. It holds 338 stocks in its basket with AUM of $83.5 billion and charges 4 bps in annual fees. The ETF trades in volume of 2.8 million shares per day on average and has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) with a Medium risk outlook.
Dividend - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG - Free Report)
The dividend-paying securities are the major sources of consistent income for investors when returns from the equity market are at risk. This is especially true as these stocks offer the best of both these worlds — safety in the form of payouts and stability in the form of mature companies that are less volatile to large swings in stock prices. The companies that offer dividends generally act as a hedge against economic uncertainty and provide downside protection by offering outsized payouts or sizable yields on a regular basis.
While the dividend space has been crowded, ETFs with stocks having a strong history of dividend growth like VIG seem to be good picks. The ETF has AUM of $59.2 billion and trades in volume of 1.2 million shares a day on average. It charges 6 bps in annual fees and has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 with a Medium risk outlook.
Bottom Line
These products could be worthwhile for low-risk-tolerant investors and have the potential to outperform the broad market, especially if inflation fears and a sooner-than-expected tightening policy continue to dampen sentiments.
Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. References to any ...
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