Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of October 28

October 28

International Trade in Goods - September (a)

-73.5

-72.8

-73.5

Wholesale Inventories - September (a)

0.30%

0.2

Chicago Fed National Activity Index

0.10

0.10

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

2.0

1.5

October 29

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August

Twenty City M/M

0.40%

0.1

Twenty City M/M - SA

-0.1

0.0

0.1

Twenty City Y/Y

2.4

2.0

2.1

Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA

Consumer Confidence

127.0

125.1

128.6

Pending Home Sale Index - September

107.3

107.3

107.1

October 30

ADP Employment Report - October

95

135

139

GDP - Q3 (a)

1.8%

2.0

1.7

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

1.8

1.8

FOMC

1.625%

1.875

1.625

October 31

Initial Unemployment Claims

215K

212

215

Personal Income - September

0.3%

0.4

0.3

Personal Spending

0.3

0.3

0.2

Employment Cost Index - Q3

0.6%

0.6

0.7

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

2.7

2.7

Chicago PMI

47.6

47.1

48.0

November 1

Nonfarm Payrolls - October

100K

136K

93

Private

90

114

Manufacturing

-50

-2

Unemployment

3.5%

3.5

3.6

Average Workweek

34.4HR

34.4

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

0.0

0.2

PMI Manufacturing Index - October

51.5

51.5

ISM (Mfg) - October

48.0

47.8

46.5

Construction Spending - September

0.2%

0.1

0.2

Week of November 4

November 4

Factory Orders - September

-0.5%

-0.1

Durable Goods Orders

-1.1

0.2

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.2

-0.3

Auto Sales* - September

17.0

17,2

Car Sales

4.7

4.7

Truck Sales

12.3

12..6

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

November 5

International Trade - September

-$55.4B

-54.9

PMI Services Index

51.0

51.0

ISM Services - October

53.5

52.6

JOLTS - September

7.03M

7.051

November 6

Productivity - Q3 (p)

0.6%

2.3

Unit Labor Costs

2.4

2.6

November 7

Consumer Credit - September

$17.0B

17.9

November 8

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)

96.5

95.5