Preliminary Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 22 And March 1

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of February 22
February 22
Leading Indicators - January	0.3%	0.3
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	8.5	7.0

February 23
S&P Case/Shiller Index - December
Twenty City M/M	0.8%	1.1
Twenty City M/M - SA	1.2	1.4
Twenty City Y/Y	9.9	9.1

FHFA Housing Market Index - December	0.8%	1.0
Consumer Confidence Index - February	90.0	89.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	14	14

February 24
New Home Sales - Jan	855K	842

February 25
Durable Goods Orders - January	0.9%	0.3
GDP - Q4 (p)	4.0%	4.0
Pending Home Sales - January	125.5	125.5

February 26
International Trade in Goods - January (a)	-$81.8B	-83.2
Wholesale Inventories (a) - January	0.6%	0.3

Personal Income - January	11.0%	0.6
Personal Spending	0.5	-0.2

Chicago PMI - February	60.0	63.8
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (r)	77.5	76.2

Week of March 1
March 1
ISM (Mfg) - February	58.9	58.7
Construction Spending - January	0.8	1.0

March 2
Auto Sales - February	16.6K	16.6
Car Sales	3.7	3.7
Truck Sales	12.9	12.9

March 3
ADP Employment Report - February	100K	174
ISM Services Index	58.7	58.7

March 4
Productivity - Q(4) - r	-4.8	-4.8
Unit Labor Cost	6.800	6.8

Factory Orders - January	1.0%	0.7
Durable Goods Orders	0.9	0.3
Nondurable Goods Orders	1.0	1.1

March 5
Nonfarm Payrolls - February	120K	49
Private	100	6
Manufacturing	20	-10
Unemployment	6.4%	6.3
Average Workweek	34.9HR	35.0
Average Hourly Earnings	0.2%	0.2

International Trade - January	-$65.6B	-66.6
Consumer Credit - January	$12.0B	9.7