Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of April 25

April 25

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - March

0.40

0.51

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey

10.0

8.7

April 26

Durable Goods Orders - March

1.0%

-2.1

1.0

S&P Case/Shiller Index - February

Twenty City M/M

1.4%

1.4

Twenty City M/M - SA

1.5

1.8

1.5

Twenty City Y/Y

19.2

19.1

18.9

FHFA Housing Price Index - February

1.6%

1.6

Consumer Confidence

106.0

107.2

108.0

New Home Sales - March

775K

772

765

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey

10.0

13

April 27

International Trade - March (a)

-$106.6B

-106.6

Wholesale Inventories - March (a)

1.8%

2.5

Pending Home Sale Index - March

104.0

104.9

102.4

April 28

Initial Jobless Claims

180K

184

180

GDP - Q1 (a)

1.0%

6.9

1.1

April 29

Employment Cost Index - Q1

1.0

1.0

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

4.1

4.0

Personal Income - March

0.4%

0.5

0.4

Personal Spending - February

0.8

0.2

0.6

Chicago PMI - April

61.0

62.9

62.0

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - April (r)

65.7

65.7

65.7

Week of May 2

May 2

PMI Manufacturing Index - April

59.7

59.7

ISM (Mfg) - April

57.5

57.1

Construction Spending - March

0.9%

0.5

May 3

Factory Orders - March

1.3%

0.5%

Durable Goods Orders 

1.0

2.1

Nondurable Goods Orders 

1.5

1.2

JOLTS -March

11.266M

11.266

Auto Sales* - April

13.5M

13.4

Car Sales

2.7

2.7

Truck Sales

10.8

10.7

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

May 4

ADP Employment Report - April

370K

435

International Trade - March

-$87.0B

-89.2

PMI Services Index

54.7

54.7

ISM Services - April

59.0

58.3

FMOC

0.875%

0.375

May 5

Productivity - Q1 (p)

1.2%

6.6

Unit Labor Costs

5.6

0.3

May 6

Nonfarm Payrolls - April

400K

431

Private

370

426

Manufacturing

45

38

Unemployment

3.6%

3.6

Average Workweek

0.4

0.4

Average Hourly Earnings

34.7HR

34.6

*Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services 

Consumer Credit - March

$20M

41.99