Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 20 And November 27
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
||||
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
||
Week of November 20 |
||||
November 20 |
||||
Leading Indicators |
0.4% |
-0.1 |
0.6 |
|
November 21 |
||||
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October |
0.20 |
0.17 |
0.2 |
|
Existing Home Sales - October |
5.430M |
5.390 |
5.425 |
|
November 22 |
||||
Durable Goods Sales - October |
0.5% |
2.0 |
0.5 |
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
235K |
249 |
240 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r) |
97.8 |
97.8 |
97.9 |
|
November 23 |
||||
Thanksgivng |
||||
November 24 |
||||
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
54.9 |
54.6 |
54.6 |
|
PMI Services Flash Index |
55.5 |
55.3 |
55.4 |
|
Week of November 27 |
||||
November 27 |
||||
New Home Sales - October |
630K |
667 |
||
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
25.0 |
27.6 |
||
November 28 |
||||
International Trade in Goods - October |
-$66.0B |
-64.1 |
||
FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept |
0.5% |
0.7 |
||
S&P Case/Shiller Index - September |
||||
Twenty City M/M |
0.4% |
0.4 |
||
Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.3 |
0.5 |
||
Twenty City Y/Y |
6.2 |
5.9 |
||
Consumer Confidence - November |
126.3 |
125.9 |
||
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
15 |
12 |
||
November 29 |
||||
GDP - Q2 (r) |
3.1% |
3.0 |
||
Pending Home Sale Index - October |
107.0 |
106.0 |
||
November 30 |
||||
Personal Income - October |
0.3% |
0.4 |
||
Personal Spending |
0.3 |
1.0 |
||
Chicago PMI |
64.2 |
66.2 |
||
December 1 |
||||
Auto Sales* - November |
17.7M |
18.1 |
||
Car Sales |
6.4 |
6.6 |
||
Truck Sales |
11.3 |
11.5 |
||
*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence |
||||
ISM (Mfg) - November |
58.5 |
58.7 |
||
Construction Spending - October |
0.6% |
0.3 |
||
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
more