Diffusion Indexes For August
Image Source: Pexels
CFNAI and state-level coincident indices suggest softening in activity.
Figure 1: CFNAI diffusion index (blue, left scale), and coincident index diffusion index for 3 month changes (tan, right scale). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: Chicago Fed via FRED, and Philadelphia Fed, NBER.
Note that CFNAI diffusion index reading of -0.17 is above the -0.35 threshold for recession.
More By This Author:
The Low Consumer Sentiment/Confidence Puzzle Resolved?China Policy Moves In Context
Disciplining The Debate: Recession Indicator AUROCs
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.
Comments
Leave a comment to automatically be entered into
our contest to win a free Echo Show.
