USD/JPY Jumps Back Closer To YTD Top, Sits Above 135.00 Ahead Of US PCE Price Index

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  • USD/JPY reverses an intraday slide to the 134.00 mark and rallies back closer to the YTD peak.
  • BoJ Governor candidate Ueda's dovish remarks weigh on JPY and act as a tailwind for the pair.
  • Bets for additional rate hikes by the Fed underpin the USD and remain supportive of the move.
  • Traders now look forward to the US Core PCE Price Index before placing fresh directional bets.

The USD/JPY pair rallies around 120 pips from the 134.00 neighborhood on Friday and climbs back closer to a two-month high touched the previous day. The pair currently trades above the 135.00 psychological mark and seems poised to build on the positive momentum.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) did get a minor boost on the last day of the week after data released earlier today showed that Japan's core consumer inflation hit a new 41-year high in January. The initial reaction, however, fades rather quickly in reaction to the incoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's dovish remarks. Addressing the parliament for the first time since his nomination, Ueda that the recent rise in consumer inflation was driven mostly by surging import costs of raw materials, rather than strong domestic demand.

Ueda added that the BoJ's current ultra-loose monetary policy stance is a necessary and appropriate means to steadily meet the 2% target. In contrast, the Federal Reserve is expected to stick to its hawkish stance. In fact, the FOMC minutes released on Wednesday showed that officials were determined to raise interest rates further to fully gain control over inflation. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields, which, in turn, keeps the US Dollar pinned near a multi-week high and further lends support to the USD/JPY pair.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move. The USD bulls, however, might refrain from placing aggressive bets and wait for the release of the US Core PCE Price Index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The data should influence expectations above the Fed's future rate-hike path and drive the USD demand, providing some impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register gains for the second straight week and the fourth week in the previous five.
 

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

OVERVIEW
Today last price 135.16
Today Daily Change 0.52
Today Daily Change % 0.39
Today daily open 134.64
TRENDS
Daily SMA20 132.18
Daily SMA50 131.8
Daily SMA100 137.25
Daily SMA200 137.04
LEVELS
Previous Daily High 135.36
Previous Daily Low 134.49
Previous Weekly High 135.11
Previous Weekly Low 131.27
Previous Monthly High 134.78
Previous Monthly Low 127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 134.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 135.03
Daily Pivot Point S1 134.3
Daily Pivot Point S2 133.95
Daily Pivot Point S3 133.42
Daily Pivot Point R1 135.17
Daily Pivot Point R2 135.71
Daily Pivot Point R3 136.05

More By This Author:

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Disclaimer: Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only ...

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