USD/JPY Extends Losses Below The 20-Day SMA, Eyes On Japanese GDP And US PPI

  • The USD/JPY plunged towards, down by 0.95%.
  • The pair is battling to hold the 20-day SMA, critical support since late July.
  • After the CPI’s volatility, markets focus to the Japanese Q3 GDP figures, US PPI and Retail Sales data on Wednesday.  

The USD/JPY suffered significant setbacks in Tuesday's session, falling towards the trajectory of the pair being set by soft CPI data from the US. Now, the focus shifts to high-tier data from both countries to be released on Wednesday.

In October, consumer price inflation in the United States was lower than expected, as indicated by the flat monthly headline Consumer Price Index (CPI). Additionally, prices in the core segment also demonstrated weaker growth than anticipated, registering a 0.2% increase MoM while the YoY measure decelerated to 4%. What weakened the USD was markets betting on a less aggressive Federal Reserve and the hopes on a sooner rate cuts, which fueled a wave of risk-on flows.

On the other hand, preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures from Japan will likely impact the dynamics of the pair as it could fuel hawkish bets on the Bank of Japan (BoJ). It's worth noticing that former Bank of Japan BoJ official Hideo Hayakawa will likely raise rates by April 2024, so in case the economy shows strong figures, the JPY may strengthen. That being said, markets are forecasting a 0.6% annualised contraction from its previous 4.8% reading. 
 

USD/JPY levels to watch

The USD/JPY displays a neutral to bearish technical bias on the daily chart, with signals suggesting that the bears are gaining ground. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) points south below its middle point, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) histogram exhibits flat green bars.  Surveying the larger context, despite the bears gaining ground and pushing the pair just below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), it is still above the 100 and 200-day SMAs, suggesting that the bulls are common on the broader time horizon.

Supports: 150.30 (20-day SMA), 150.00, 149.00.
Resistances: 151.00, 151.50, 153.00
 

USD/JPY daily chart

(Click on image to enlarge)


USD/JPY

OVERVIEW
Today last price 150.24
Today Daily Change -1.41
Today Daily Change % -0.93
Today daily open 151.65
TRENDS
Daily SMA20 150.34
Daily SMA50 149.22
Daily SMA100 146.25
Daily SMA200 141
LEVELS
Previous Daily High 151.91
Previous Daily Low 151.21
Previous Weekly High 151.6
Previous Weekly Low 149.35
Previous Monthly High 151.72
Previous Monthly Low 147.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 151.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 151.48
Daily Pivot Point S1 151.27
Daily Pivot Point S2 150.89
Daily Pivot Point S3 150.57
Daily Pivot Point R1 151.97
Daily Pivot Point R2 152.29
Daily Pivot Point R3 152.67

More By This Author:

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USD/CAD Hovers Above 1.3800, US Inflation Data Awaited

Disclosure: Information on this article contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes ...

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