USD/CAD Price Analysis: Attempts To Come Out Of Woods
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- USD/CAD rebounds after building a base around 1.3400 as the market mood turns cautious.
- US headline inflation for July is expected to rebound as oil prices recovered sharply last month.
- USD/CAD shifts auction above the 1.3387 resistance, which turns into a support for the US Dollar bulls.
The USD/CAD pair attempts to break the consolidation above the round-level support of 1.3400 in the European session. The Loonie asset finds strength as the US Dollar rebounds after discovering a cushion near 102.30.
Bearish sentiment revives as investors turn cautious ahead of the United States inflation data, which will be released on Thursday at 12:30 GMT. US headline inflation for July is expected to rebound as oil prices recovered sharply last month.
July’s inflation data is expected to build a base for Federal Reserve’s (Fed) September monetary policy as sticky price pressures would force policymakers to consider an extension of policy-tightening.
USD/CAD shifts auction above the horizontal resistance plotted from July 07 high at 1.3387 on a four-hour scale, which turns into a support for the US Dollar bulls. The Loonie asset is approaching the next resistance plotted around 1.3650. Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3400 provides support to the US Dollar.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a consolidation ahead.
Mean-reversion move to near 1.3400 would be a buying opportunity for the US Dollar bulls. This would drive the asset toward June 05 high at 1.3462 followed by the psychological resistance at 1.3500.
In an alternate scenario, a downside move below July 18 high at 1.3288 would drag the asset toward July 27 low around 1.3160 and July 14 low marginally below 1.3100.
USD/CAD four-hour chart
(Click on image to enlarge)
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USD/CAD
| OVERVIEW | |
|---|---|
| Today last price | 1.3445 |
| Today Daily Change | 0.0026 |
| Today Daily Change % | 0.19 |
| Today daily open | 1.3419 |
| TRENDS | |
|---|---|
| Daily SMA20 | 1.324 |
| Daily SMA50 | 1.3271 |
| Daily SMA100 | 1.3396 |
| Daily SMA200 | 1.3454 |
| LEVELS | |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.3502 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.3365 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.3394 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.3151 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.3387 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.3093 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.345 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.3417 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.3355 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.3292 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.3218 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.3492 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.3566 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.3629 |
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