Today’s GBP/USD Signals

Short Trade Idea

• Short entry between $1.35203 and $1.35500, the intra-day low of the breakdown and the intra-day high of the failed breakout.
• Place your stop loss level 20 pips above your entry level.
• Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 50 pips in profit.
• Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 50 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trade Idea

• Long entry if price action breaks out above $1.35600, ten pips above the intra-day high of the previous breakout that reversed into a breakdown.
• Place your stop loss level at 20 below your entry level.
• Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 25 pips in profit.
• Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside, or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
 

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis
 

Economic Data to Consider:

• Yesterday’s UK August S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 47.0, lower than the expected reading of 47.3, and below July’s 48.0, confirming a deepening manufacturing slump.
• Economists predict today’s US August S&P Global Manufacturing PMI to show a reversal from July’s 49.8 to 53.3, suggesting an expansion.
• US July construction spending is predicted to show a contraction of 0.1%, following June’s drop of 0.4%.
• The US August ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to improve to 49.0 with the crucial Prices Paid component rising to 65.1, following July’s readings of 48.0 and 64.8, respectively.
• Economists are upbeat about the US September IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, expected to improve to 51.8 from August’s 50.9.

So, why am I bearish on the GBP/USD following its breakdown?

Yesterday, I expected the GBP/USD to complete its breakdown and accelerate towards its ascending 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Fan level. Price action wobbled, and a false breakout materialized. Still, it was short of my long entry level.

The GBP/USD completed a breakdown earlier this morning, confirmed by the Bull Bear Power Indicator turning bearish, as I expected yesterday, assisted by its descending trendline and negative divergence.

I expect more downside, but Forex traders should brace for volatility, as bulls could make one final attempt to push higher. US economic data could exacerbate US Dollar strength versus the British Pound today. Forex traders should earn 50 to 75 pips from this short position.
 

GBP/USD Price Chart
 

(Click on image to enlarge)

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