GBPJPY To Close Above Psychologically Important 200 Level?
GBPJPY decreasing ~0.08% percent since the previous trading session’s close. Over the past 4 weeks GBPJPY has lost around ~1.46%. Over the last 12 months, its price rose by ~10.26%.
Looking ahead, according to Bloomberg’s FX model, the GBPJPY is expected to trade (with 75.9% probability) within the 197.728 – 203.010 range during the next 7 days.
GBPJPY may be experiencing higher levels of volatility tomorrow due to important macroeconomic readings coming out of both Japan (JP) and Great Britain (GB).
Key reading scheduled for tomorrow:
- JP: BoJ monetary policy meeting minutes and balance of trade (-1300B yen – expected; -462.5B yen – previous)
- GB: Inflation rate (2.0% YoY – expected; 2.3% YoY – previous)
A higher-than-expected inflation rate in the UK may translate into GBPJPY moving higher.
From the technical perspective
GBPJPY is trading above the key simple moving averages (SMAs), underscoring a strong bullish momentum.
To the downside the 21-period SMA along with psychologically important 200 level are set to provide an immediate support.
The relative strength index (RSI) is in the neutral zone (<30 – oversold; >70 – overbought), reflecting the market’s state of uncertainty ahead of important data release tomorrow.
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