DXY Bearish Wave (Y) Breaks $100

(Click on image to enlarge)

Chart of DXY

In the long term, the dollar index forms a triple zigzag. This consists of primary sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ-Ⓧ-Ⓩ. At the moment, the sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ-Ⓧ look complete. The second intervening wave Ⓧ is a standard zigzag.

Most likely, the price drop in the primary wave Ⓩ will continue in the next coming days. Judging by the internal structure, this wave can take the form of an intermediate double zigzag.

The end of the bearish pattern is expected near 96.364. At that level, primary wave Ⓩ will be at 76.4% of wave Ⓨ.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Chart of DXY

We propose to consider an alternative scenario in which a wave z is formed in a triple zigzag w-x-y-x-z.

The structure of the wave z is similar to the zigzag Ⓐ-Ⓑ-Ⓒ. In its composition, the first impulse Ⓐ and the correction Ⓑ in the form of an intermediate double zigzag have ended. The entire wave z can end near 114.75, that is, at the maximum of the primary impulse wave Ⓐ.

However, the first target for bulls is the maximum of 105.94, which was marked by the intermediate intervening wave (X).


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