Despite OPEC+ cutting production at the margin, oil slumped below pre-Putin levels today as demand concerns emanating from China and increasingly hawkish rhetoric from central banks prompted a wave of selling that turned into a frenzy as prices breached technical warning levels.

“Elevated volatility is the story here,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management.

“There is no way to have conviction and want to place bets when the market trades in huge ranges with limited liquidity. The risk reward is just not there.”

With prices at a key level and Putin outright threatening to withhold oil flows to 'unfriendly' nations, algos will be eagle-eyed on tonight's inventory data ahead of tomorrow's official print for signs that confirm fears of recession.

API

• Crude +3.645mm
• Cushing -772k
• Gasoline -836k
• Distillates +1.833mm

For the first time in four weeks, US crude stocks increased last week (+3.645mm). Gasoline inventories drew down for the seventh straight week...

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Source: Bloomberg

WTI suffered a 'death cross' today, pushing the price to its lowest since February...

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Source: Bloomberg

WTI was trading below $82 ahead of the print and held those losses...

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“WTI crude should hold $80 given how strong the US economy remains and now that most of the demand shock from China’s deteriorating COVID situation has been priced in,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.

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