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• U.S. natural gas futures fall 10% to under $2.1/MMBtu due to weather forecasts and reduced feedgas.
• Lower feedgas leads to 11.6 bcfd flow at U.S. LNG export plants in July, down from 12.8 bcfd in June.
• EIA reports 10 Bcf lower gas injection, bringing total stockpiles to 3,209 Bcf, 16.9% above average.

The U.S. natural gas market has seen major turmoil over the last week, with natural gas futures falling by more than 10% to below $2.1 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

This steep reduction has been linked to a number of causes, including milder weather forecasts and less feedgas to LNG export plants.

Freeport LNG shutdown and lower feedgas flows impact U.S. LNG exports
 

According to a report published by Trending Economics, gas flows to US LNG export facilities have dropped significantly to 11.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far in July, down from 12.8 bcfd in June.

One of the primary causes of this drop has been the prolonged outage of the Freeport LNG project. The factory has been offline for longer than intended due to interruptions caused by Hurricane Beryl, resulting in the delay of many shipments, estimated to be seven to ten.

EIA reports lower storage injection levels as utilities hoard gas
 

In addition to the interruptions in the LNG export industry, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that US utilities injected only 10 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of gas into storage last week, a considerable decrease from the expected 28 Bcf increase.

This has increased total natural gas stockpiles to 3,209 Bcf, representing a 16.9% surplus over the 5-year average.

Weather forecast indicates shift in temperature patterns
 

Looking ahead, meteorologists forecast near-normal weather conditions in the Lower 48 states until July 24, followed by a shift to hotter-than-normal temperatures through August 1.

This projected weather pattern is expected to have a significant impact on natural gas demand and supply dynamics, potentially adding to the market’s ongoing volatility.

As the natural gas market navigates these obstacles, industry participants are closely watching supply disruptions, storage levels, and weather patterns to get insight into future price movements and market trends.

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