Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Plummets To $28.40 As Uncertainty Over Fed Rate Cut Timing Deepens

Silver price (XAG/USD) slumps to $28.40 in Tuesday’s European session. The white metal faces intense selling pressure as the US Dollar extends its upside to more than five-month high around 106.40. The US Dollar strengthens after robust United States Retail Sales data for March deepened uncertainty about when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start reducing interest rates.

S&P 500 futures have posted some losses in the European session, portraying a decline in the risk appetite of the market participants. 10-year US Treasury yields hover near a fresh five-month high around 4.63%. US bond yields extend their upside on expectations that the Fed will delay rate cuts later this year. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rises to 106.33 and continues its winning streak for the fifth trading session on Tuesday.

Fed policymakers see no urgency for a reduction in interest rates. San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly emphasized keeping the monetary policy restrictive until policymakers get convinced that inflation is on course towards the 2% target.

The near-term outlook of Silver remains strong amid fears that tensions in the Middle East region could spread beyond Gaza. After a cabinet meeting on Monday with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s military Chief of Staff Herzi Halev said they would respond to Iran’s attack on their territory. On Saturday, Iran launched hundreds of drones and missiles to retaliate against Israel’s attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria near Damascus, in which two high-ranked generals died.


Silver technical analysis

Silver price faces selling pressure while attempting to break above horizontal resistance plotted from 3 August 2020 high at $29.86. The long-term outlook of the white metal is bullish as the 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $24.85 is sloping higher.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifts into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, suggesting a strong upside momentum.


Silver weekly chart

(Click on image to enlarge)



Today last price 28.28
Today Daily Change -0.59
Today Daily Change % -2.04
Today daily open 28.87


Daily SMA20 26.28
Daily SMA50 24.46
Daily SMA100 24
Daily SMA200 23.63


Previous Daily High 28.89
Previous Daily Low 27.62
Previous Weekly High 29.8
Previous Weekly Low 26.88
Previous Monthly High 25.77
Previous Monthly Low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 28.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 28.11
Daily Pivot Point S1 28.03
Daily Pivot Point S2 27.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 26.77
Daily Pivot Point R1 29.3
Daily Pivot Point R2 29.73
Daily Pivot Point R3 30.57

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