Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Sticks To Gains Near $23.00 Mark, Lacks Bullish Conviction

Silver (XAG/USD) builds on the previous day's goodish rebound from the vicinity of mid-$22.00s, or a multi-day low and gains some follow-through traction on Thursday. The white metal maintains its bid tone through the early part of the European session and currently trades around the $23.00 round-figure mark, up over 0.20% for the day.

The post-FOMC US Dollar (USD) selling bias remains unabated, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the USD-denominated commodities, including the XAG/USD. This, along with positive technical indicators on the daily chart, supports prospects for a further appreciating move. That said, the recent repeated failures near the $23.60-$23.70 supply zone, which constitute the formation of a bearish multiple tops pattern, warrants caution for bullish traders.

In the meantime, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront stiff resistance near the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged around the $23.30 region. Bulls, meanwhile, need to wait for a convincing breakout through the $23.60-$23.70 barrier, before placing fresh bets. The XAG/USD might then aim to surpass the $24.00 mark and test the $24.20 hurdle before making a fresh attempt towards conquering the $25.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, the $22.50-$22.45 region now seems to have emerged as an immediate strong support. Some follow-through selling, however, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and drag the XAG/USD to the $22.00 mark. The downward trajectory could get extended further towards the $21.70 horizontal support en route to the $21.35-$21.30 region and the $21.00 mark. Silver could eventually drop to the $20.70-$20.65 area, or a seven-month low touched in October.

 

Silver daily chart

(Click on image to enlarge)

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

OVERVIEW
Today last price 23
Today Daily Change 0.06
Today Daily Change % 0.26
Today daily open 22.94

 

TRENDS
Daily SMA20 22.57
Daily SMA50 22.93
Daily SMA100 23.22
Daily SMA200 23.29

 

LEVELS
Previous Daily High 23.01
Previous Daily Low 22.54
Previous Weekly High 23.36
Previous Weekly Low 22.44
Previous Monthly High 23.7
Previous Monthly Low 20.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 22.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 22.72
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.65
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.36
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.18
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.12
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.3
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.59

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Stages A Modest Recovery Above $1,980 After Fed Rate Pause
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Hovers Above The 1.0550 Key Level Ahead Of Fed Decision

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