Short-Term Jump Risk
Image Source: Pixabay
In this episode of Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour from Mar 26, 2025, Samantha LaDuc and Hans Albrecht discuss the current market environment, emphasizing how political uncertainty, particularly around tariffs and fiscal policy, is creating unpredictable “jump risk” for equities.
They highlight the shift of global capital away from U.S. stocks to international markets like China, Brazil, and Germany, a trend Samantha calls “money goes home.”
Despite low volatility readings (like a muted VIX), they caution that the market is not stable—it’s simply not pricing in real macro risks like rising yields, a potential debt ceiling showdown, and geopolitical disruptions.
They also break down why recent bounces in big tech and AI stocks may be unsustainable, warning that sentiment is weakening, and investors should consider defensive sectors, be selective with protection strategies, and prepare for more volatility ahead.
video length: 00:55:50
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