Safe Haven ETFs In Focus Amid Geopolitical Threats

North Korea has been relatively silent for two months. Safe haven funds were out of investor radar. However, they are back in reckoning as the North Korean leader made claims of his regime completing its nuclear program.  

Latest Developments in the Space

North Korea launched a Hwasong-15 missile with improved technology that can put the entire United States within range, per Korean Central News Agency (KCNA). Per United States Secretary of Defense James Mattis, this missile flew higher than any previous missile.

Despite widespread global criticism, North Korea has been continuously testing missiles to develop a nuclear program in order to safeguard itself from potential U.S. invasion, per North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un. North Korea seems to be anything but willing to scrap its nuclear program, as it broke its two-month-long period of silence by testing a missile that reached an altitude of more than 4,000 kilometers.

South Korea responded with its own missile test in a show of force within minutes of the launch. Moreover, North Korea was recently added to a list of nations that the United States considers sponsors terrorism. The Asian nation strongly condemned this action.

This came as President Donald Trump enacted new sanctions aimed at North Korean shipping to put further pressure on the country to abandon its nuclear program. However, North Korea responded by saying that they will continue to work on the nuclear program amid continuous sanctions by the United States.

Let us discuss a few ETFs impacted by the rising geopolitical risks relating to North Korea.

Japanese yen funds are the go-to investment vehicles in periods of rising risks. Although Japan’s proximity to North Korea creates doubts over its reliance as a safe haven currency, its significant foreign asset position makes it a good bet. Moreover, yen’s track record of safeguarding investors from global risks may also be a factor for its current relative appeal.

CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY - Free Report)

This ETF seeks to provide exposure to the Japanese yen.

It has AUM of $112.1 million and charges a fee of 40 basis points a year. It has returned 4.4% year to date and 1.1% in a year (as of Nov 28, 2017). As such, FXY carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook.

CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF - Free Report)

This ETF seeks to provide exposure to the Swiss franc.

It has AUM of $148.7 million and charges a fee of 40 basis points a year. It has returned 2.4% year to date and 1.8% in a year (as of Nov 28, 2017). As such, FXF carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a High-risk outlook.

Gold has been gaining on rising concerns relating to North Korea as well as Saudi Arabia. Earlier this month, Saudi Arabian crown prince Mohammed bin Salman looked to tighten his grip on power by ordering a crackdown with arrests of royals, ministers, and investors. Saudi stocks suffered as a result of this and introduced uncertainty in the markets, driving demand for safe havens like gold. Salman’s crackdown on corruption and war-related tensions with Iran led to investor pessimism and hit the stock markets.

SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD - Free Report)

This fund offers physical exposure to gold. It seeks to track the performance of the gold bullion and might turn out to be a cost-efficient way of gaining exposure to the commodity even after accounting for the fund’s expenses.

It has AUM of $34.9 billion and charges a fee of 40 basis points a year. It has returned 12.0% year to date and 9.1% in a year (as of Nov 28, 2017). As such, GLD carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook.

iShares Gold Trust ETF (IAU - Free Report)

This ETF seeks to provide exposure to prices of the gold bullion and can be used as a means to attain portfolio diversification or achieve hedging targets.

It has AUM of $10.0 billion and charges a fee of 25 basis points a year. It has returned 12.2% year to date and 9.3% in a year (as of Nov 28, 2017). As such, IAU carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook.

Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. References to any specific ...

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Louis Jackson 7 years ago Member's comment

I remember about a year ago when the pundits/foreign policy analysts were saying North Korea was about five years away from being anywhere close to having ICBM's that could hit the US. I thought that was a terrifying thought. And now we find out they are way ahead of schedule and could probably do it now. And yet no one seems to be the least bit concerned. It's an upside down world right now.

Danielle Rogers 7 years ago Member's comment

I think it comes down to how crazy you think Kim Jong-Un really is. Personally I think it's a lot of bluster. He knows if he attacks America, we will literally wipe North Korea off the face of the planet. Especially with #Trump in charge. He may not care about his people (this was reinforced by the health report of the recent defector), but he certainly cares about his own life.

Angry Old Lady 7 years ago Member's comment

I have to agree to the other commenters here. You'd think with two crazies in power (Trump and Kim Jong-In), war would be inevitable. But it's as if we've all become desensitized to it all. A few "safe" ETFs would not be a bad idea at all.

Michael Molman 7 years ago Contributor's comment

Market has gotten used to North Korea's nuclear tests; at this point it seems like nobody truly believes all out war is likely. Its good to have a list of potential ETF's to buy when market finally turns.

Louis Jackson 7 years ago Member's comment

Hard to believe there's virtually no market reaction to the realization that North Korea can practically strike any city in the US. Not only did gold hardly budge, but it also looks ready to take another leg down.