Intraday Market Analysis – USD Awaits Catalyst - Thursday, Jan. 12
USDCHF claws back losses
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The Swiss franc plunged across the board after a pickup in risk sentiment. After a double top at 0.9400, a drop below 0.9260 had put the bulls in an awkward position. Last March’s lows around 0.9160 have attracted some bargain hunting. Then a close above 0.9270 revealed strong momentum, turning it into support. Selling pressure could be expected at 0.9400 but a break above this major hurdle could trigger a recovery in the weeks to come. In the meantime, the RSI’s overbought situation may grant a limited pullback.
XAUUSD to test key resistance
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Gold drifts sideways as traders reposition ahead of the US CPI. Following a brief fallback, a new high above 1860 indicates a strong bullish drive. The psychological level of 1900 sits with the start of a sell-off back in May and could act as a key obstacle ahead. The RSI’s repeatedly overbought condition on the daily chart may prompt short-term buyers to take profit, weakening the momentum. The resistance-turned-support at 1860 is the first level to expect follow-ups and 1833 on the 20-day moving average is critical support.
USOIL struggles for bids
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WTI crude jumped as the EU worked on more sanctions against Moscow. The price is consolidating above 70.00 as the bulls cling on the psychological level and 12-month low. The 70.00-81.10 range may be narrowing as traders probe levels back and forth. 74.30 is fresh support to prevent the commodity from revisiting the critical floor right below. A close above the former support 78.30 may brighten up the mood and attract more buying interest. Only a rally above 81.00 would pave the way for a bullish reversal.
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