Gold's Pursuit Of Record Highs

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Image Source: Pixabay


In the face of economic fluctuations and evolving monetary policies, gold seems to be orchestrating a compelling narrative of its own, one that points towards a new touch of all-time highs in the not too distant future. We explained this in great detail in our article: Is gold expected to move higher? As the S&P 500 hit resistance at its 40-year trendline, could it be that rotation will favor precious metals?

With the era of monetary tightening gradually waning, the stage is set for a potential gold surge. Historical data unveils an intriguing correlation between the end of tightening cycles and gold's upward trajectory. As the monetary tightening cycle seems to be coming to an end, gold appears poised to take center stage, potentially starting a journey towards new highs. If and when this happens, we expect it to start slowly, hesitate around its previous highs, accelerate after confirming its ATH-breakout.

Gold's allure lies in its dual role as both a reflection of inflation and a haven for fearful investors. The price of gold often mirrors the ebb and flow of inflation, making it an attractive hedge against economic uncertainties. 


Remarkable Chart Patterns

A closer look at the gold price chart over the past five decades reveals fascinating patterns. The distinctive "cup and handle" pattern, a powerful bullish reversal, stands out. This chart formation, characterized by a rounded bottom followed by a slight consolidation before an upward move, suggests that gold is positioning itself for a potentially significant ascent.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Chart courtesy: InvestinHaven’s gold forecast 

The price trajectory of gold, when observed over a span of 40 years, paints a compelling picture. The long-term channel that has endured through various market cycles signals a sense of consistency and underlying strength. This sustained trajectory hints at the potential for gold to overcome barriers and forge ahead on its journey to new heights.


Monetary Policies and Global Currencies

While gold's performance is often measured in USD terms, its value can be analyzed through the lens of various global currencies. A glance at gold's performance across different currencies in the past decade reveals a consistent pattern of price appreciation. This phenomenon underscores gold's universal appeal as a tangible and enduring asset.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Chart courtesy: GoldChartsRUs 


The Swiss Franc Correlation

Delving deeper into currency dynamics, the correlation between the Swiss Franc and gold adds another layer of intrigue. Over the past two decades, notable periods of bull runs in the Swiss Franc have often coincided with significant gold price movements. This correlation suggests that shifts in the Swiss Franc could potentially serve as a precursor to gold's future movements.

(Click on image to enlarge)


Conclusion

The confluence of factors such as the end of monetary tightening, gold's role as an inflation hedge and safe haven, remarkable chart patterns, and the Swiss Franc correlation point towards an impending rise. The prospect of gold reaching new all-time highs is not a mere fantasy; it's an outcome rooted in the complexities of global markets and the enduring allure of precious metals.


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