Gold Surge Stalls After JOLTs Data, FOMC Minutes Awaited

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  • Gold climbs to $2,664 but faces pressure from a strong US labor market and Trump's assertive tariff plans.
  • Trump’s unexpected remarks on reclaiming the Panama Canal and imposing tariffs on neighbors bolster the US Dollar.
  • People's Bank of China boosts gold reserves, signaling increased demand as global economic uncertainties persist.

Gold price advanced late in the North American session on Tuesday yet retreated from daily highs on solid United States (US) economic data and US President-elect Donald Trump’s press conference remarks. The XAU/USD trades at $2,648, gains 0.50%.

In the United States, the schedule revealed a strong jobs report amid an increase in job openings, reassuring investors that the labor market is solid. Furthermore, business activity in the services sector improved sharply, weighing on expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

In the meantime, US President-elect Donald Trump crossed the wires, said he would like to take back control of the Panama Canal and reiterated that he would impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This boosted the US Dollar (USD) and capped Gold’s advance.

Earlier, Bullion rose to a two-day peak of $2,664 after China’s central bank increased its Gold reserves for the second straight month by 300K ounces to 73.3 million, an indication that the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) resumed its purchases after a six-month pause.

US Treasury bond yields remained high, bolstering the Greenback. According to the Fed funds futures interest rate contract at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), investors estimate 51 basis points (bps) of easing or two 25 bps interest rate cuts by the Fed toward the end of the year.

Ahead this week, the US economic docket will feature the ADP Employment Change, Initial Jobless Claims figures, the Fed’s last meeting minutes and December’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report.


Daily digest market movers: Gold price climbs amid high US yields, underpinned by PBoC purchases
 

  • Gold remains pressured as US real yields rise two bps up to 2.28%.
  • The US 10-year T-note yield soars six and a half bps to 4.691%.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance against a basket of six currencies, edges up by 0.26% at 108.55 after bouncing from a weekly low of 107.75.
  • The ISM Services PMI in December increased by 54.1, exceeding forecasts of 53.3 and November’s 52.1 reading.
  • The Job Labor and Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed that work openings increased from 7.839 million to 8.098 million in November.
  • The US trade deficit widened in November, according to the US BEA, reaching $78.2 billion compared to $73.6 billion in October.
  • Imports climbed by 3.4% MoM to $351.6 billion from $339.9 billion, while exports increased by 2.7%MoM to $273.4 billion from $266.3 billion.


XAU/USD technical outlook: Gold price advances but remains below $2,650
 

Gold prices have advanced above $2,640, opening the door to exchange hands at around the $2,640 - $2,650 range. Nonetheless, the yellow metal cannot decisively clear the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at around $2,651, which could pave the way for further upside.

In that outcome, the next ceiling level would be $2,700 ahead of challenging the December 12 peak at $2,726. If surpassed, the next stop would be the record high at $2,790.

Conversely, if sellers drag the XAU/USD below the 100-day SMA of $2,627, look for a test of $2,500 before Gold extends its losses to the 200-day SMA at $2,494.


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Disclaimer: Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only ...

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