Gold Price Forecast: Gold Remains Above $2,060 In A Low-Volume Market

Stacks of gold bars — Stock Photo, Image

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Gold price hovers above $2,060 per troy ounce during the early European session on Wednesday. The upward movement in Gold prices is attributed to traders factoring in the potential for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Moreover, WIRP indicated that the market has priced in a 15% probability of a cut on January 31 and has fully priced in cuts by March 20, with six cuts fully priced in by the end of 2024.

The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are adding to the heightened risk-off sentiment, further boosting demand for Gold as a safe-haven asset. Despite concerns, major shipping firms like Maersk and CMA CGM have started to return to the Red Sea, indicating a tentative normalization with the deployment of a multinational task force in the region. The decision of Hapag-Lloyd on resuming shipments is awaited on Wednesday. It's worth noting that while there are concerns about Iran potentially closing the Gibraltar Strait, many doubt the feasibility of such an action.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) stays below 101.50 at the time of writing. The DXY appears to be under pressure, influenced by subdued US Treasury yields. Both the 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons are trading lower, with figures at 4.29% and 3.88%, respectively, by the press time. The sentiments are further echoed by former Dallas Federal Reserve President Robert Kaplan, who highlighted the central bank's past error of prolonged excessive accommodation. Kaplan believes that the Federal Reserve is now exercising caution to avoid making a similar mistake on the opposite end, ensuring not to become overly restrictive and potentially hinder economic growth.

The US Dollar faced additional pressure as the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports a softer Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) – Index for November. The US Core PCE Inflation (Year-on-Year) registered a growth of 3.2%, falling short of the expected 3.3% and the previous 3.4%. Meanwhile, the Month-on-Month (MoM) data maintained consistency at 0.1%, slightly below the market expectation of 0.2%. Looking ahead, Thursday is set to bring the release of Initial Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales data from the United States (US), providing further insights into the economic landscape.

XAU/USD: ADDITIONAL TECHNICAL LEVELS

OVERVIEW
Today last price 2065.53
Today Daily Change -2.86
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 2068.39

 

TRENDS
Daily SMA20 2030.55
Daily SMA50 2000.14
Daily SMA100 1950.58
Daily SMA200 1959.3

 

LEVELS
Previous Daily High 2068.63
Previous Daily Low 2053.5
Previous Weekly High 2070.65
Previous Weekly Low 2016.17
Previous Monthly High 2052.03
Previous Monthly Low 1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2062.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2059.28
Daily Pivot Point S1 2058.38
Daily Pivot Point S2 2048.38
Daily Pivot Point S3 2043.25
Daily Pivot Point R1 2073.51
Daily Pivot Point R2 2078.64
Daily Pivot Point R3 2088.64

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WTI Rises Near $75.50 On Dovish Fed Outlook, Maersk, CMA CGM Return To Red Sea
GBP/USD Moves Sideways Near 1.2720 With A Positive Bias Amid Stable US Dollar

Disclosure: Information on this article contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes ...

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