Gold Analysis: Upward Trajectory Awaits Positive Stimulus Factors
Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:
- The overall of Gold Trend: Bullish.
- Today's Gold Support Points: $4125 - $4080 - $4020 per ounce.
- Today's Gold Resistance Points: $4180 - $4220 - $4270 per ounce
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Today's Gold Trading Signals:
- Sell gold from the resistance level of $4220 with a target of $3980 and a stop-loss at $4260.
- Buy gold from the support level of $4080 with a target of $4240 and a stop-loss at $4020.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:
Trading during the US holiday week has been generally bullish for spot gold prices, with gains extending to the $4173 per ounce resistance level, close to the $4220 per ounce peak that was frequently highlighted as crucial for enabling bulls to launch the gold index into new, record-breaking upward breakouts. According to gold trading company platforms, spot gold prices are stabilizing around the $4145 per ounce level at the time of writing this analysis, awaiting strong positive stimulus factors. It should be noted that the US holiday today may affect market liquidity and thus weaken investors' appetite for aggressively entering new deals.
Will gold prices rise in the coming days?
Undoubtedly, according to gold analysts' forecasts, the upward trend of the gold index is strengthening with its recent gains, and the outlook remains strongly bullish for the future of gold prices. Gold is expected to rise due to the weakening US Dollar and the easing of US Federal Reserve policies, even as stock prices remain strong. According to commodity market experts, despite recent volatility, gold trading remains on an ascending trajectory amid strong demand from global central banks and individual investors, with central banks and gold-backed ETFs continuing to buy.
The movement of the technical indicators on the daily chart supports the bulls: the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is stabilizing around a reading of 58 (above the neutral line), and at the same time, the MACD indicator lines are tilting firmly upwards, awaiting stronger stimulus. As mentioned before, the $4220 per ounce level will remain an important catalyst for the bulls' strength. Simultaneously, the $4000 per ounce level will remain the dividing line between the bulls' control and the bears' commencement of trend control.
Overall, and according to the outlook of major banks and institutions, the future of gold prices is positive in the coming months. We believe that investors can benefit from diversifying their investments across global assets, particularly foreign currencies, through gold. It offers resilience during periods of significant volatility and holds the potential for further appreciation. And don't forget that the gold market has recorded gains of 54 percent since the beginning of 2025. With gold recently stabilizing around $4,000 per ounce, the market appears to have resumed its upward trend, driven by speculation that upcoming economic data – delayed by the US government shutdown – could support another US interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December 2025. At the same time, despite improved global sentiment and rising global stock prices, current market conditions continue to provide a supportive backdrop for gold prices.
We believe that gold trading will continue to benefit from strong central bank demand, ongoing concerns about the weakness of the US Dollar price, and continued interest in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In this context, gold remains an essential diversification factor within the investment portfolio, helping clients navigate persistent global uncertainty.
Trading Tips:
Gold's historical trajectory remains upward. Therefore, any significant price decline presents a new opportunity to reconsider buying. However, never take unnecessary risks and carefully monitor market influencing factors.
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