BTC/USD Forecast: Bounces After Hard Crash
- Bitcoin shows volatility after dropping toward $80,000, forming a hammer that hints at a potential short-term bounce, though broader momentum remains bearish.
- Significant overhead resistance and weakened risk appetite continue to pressure the market.
(Click on image to enlarge)

Bitcoin was very volatile during the trading session on Friday, reaching the $80,000 level. That being said, we have bounced enough to form a bit of a hammer during the trading session, and it's pretty easy to see that Bitcoin is oversold. This is an area where it makes a certain amount of sense that we could see a little bit of strength, but I don't know how much I read into it.
Any bounce at this point in time, I think you have to really question because when we broke through the $100,000 level, we didn't even bother to bounce enough to retest that level.
Major Resistance and Selling Pressure
I do believe at this point it's likely that Bitcoin will continue to face a lot of headwinds on the way back up, and I would anticipate that selling pressure would come back into the picture sooner or later. One area of interest for me, at least, is the $92,500 level, an area that previously had been supported, and you can see that just a few days ago, there was at least some type of reaction. If we can break above the crucial $100,000 level, then that could get things going to the upside, but we are $16,000 or so away from there, and I do think that is something that you need to keep in the back of your mind.
The shape of the candlestick is somewhat like a hammer, and that is a bullish sign, but all things being equal, there's just so much ugliness when it comes to the Bitcoin markets. I don't have any interest in buying it. I think those who are active traders may get opportunities to short soon, but again, you just never know what the fundamental situation will be like. It looks to me like risk appetite is taking a little bit of a beating, and that transfers to weaker Bitcoin prices.
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