"One Big Worldwide Bubble": Cusp Of 30-Year Bear Market In Stocks And Bonds

In a Bloomberg TV interview, Milton Berg, founder and CEO of MB Advisors, says, “We’re at the cusp of a 30-year bear market in stocks and bonds.”

Click here to play.

Milton Berg

 

Berg’s view on a 30-year bear market is on a “real inflation-adjusted basis, not a nominal basis”.

This is the “most over-valued equity market in history, worldwide” …. not even a Mario Draghi “whatever it takes” action will help.

“It’s all one big worldwide bubble.”

I especially like Berg’s admission that he does not know how this ends.

“Either deflation is going to accelerate, which is most likely, or they [central banks] will turn to real inflation, real printing, rather than just credit inflation. Either way it’s disastrous.”

That has been precisely my view for some time.

I, too, expect another round of credit-based deflation but I am willing to change my mind if something different happens.

Berg finishes with a bang: “The whole idea you buy stocks and hold them for 30 years was never correct… The typical investor should be out of stocks and out of bonds and wait for a crisis, and buy during a crisis.”

Not sure when the bond bubble bursts. Stocks are on the cusp now.

But as I have stated, there may not be a crash that many bears now expect.

My favored scenario is a series of five to fifteen percent declines over a number of years, with smaller and less frequent rallies, where every rally is a trap.

Such a slow bleed would be far more painful to pension plans counting on eight percent annualized returns.

This is one of the best Bloomberg interviews I have seen in a long time, but I am a bit biased. I would have said nearly the same thing.

Disclaimer: The content on Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with
Bob Bobby 9 years ago Member's comment

If you're right it means a 30 year bull market in investment newsletters :(

Gary Anderson 9 years ago Contributor's comment

We have a bull market in bonds while having a bull market in stocks. If stocks crash the bull market in bonds will get more bullish IMO.