Bonds, Stocks, & Bullion Soar On Weaker Wage Growth
Image source: Pixabay
Forget the good news in the jobs report -- record unemployment and underemployment rates -- let's focus instead on the weakness in wage growth (all thank to revisions).
Revisions to average hourly earnings data paint a marginally less worrisome picture for the Fed on wages than the Nov report
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) January 6, 2023
The upturn in wage growth in Nov (originally reported as +0.6%) was revised (to +0.4%)
The 4.6% annual wage growth in Dec was the lowest since Aug '21 pic.twitter.com/1lCjoDjcMe
And that 'bad' news is just what stocks wanted.
Bond yields plunged, led by the short-end.
Gold also spiked, moving back above $1850.
And the dollar was dumped.
And most importantly, Fed rate trajectory expectations shifted dovishly lower (lower terminal rate and more rate-cuts).
These easing financial conditions are not what the Fed wants to see.
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