Bitcoin Price Faces Pressure As Short-Term Holders See Profit Decline

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After peaking at over $123,000 in mid-July, Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a phase of market indecision. As of now, the price hovers just above $115,000, marking a 3% decline over the past seven days. Analysts point to a breakdown below the $116,000 support zone on July 31, pushing Bitcoin into a low-liquidity “air gap” between $110,000 and $116,000.


Short-Term Holders Face Reduced Profitability

Data from Glassnode shows that opportunistic buyers accumulated around 120,000 BTC during a bounce between $112,000 and $114,000. However, analysts warn that this short-term activity is insufficient to create a strong support base.

Short-term holders, who bought Bitcoin within the last 155 days, are now experiencing shrinking profits. Their profitability has decreased from 100% to just 70%, signaling potential weakness in market confidence.

The current cost basis for short-term holders is around $106,000. Although this figure is still below the market price, it is nearing the current price level. If Bitcoin fails to break above the $116,000 level again, this could put pressure on holders.


Bitcoin Faces Sell-Off Pressure Amid Profit-Taking

Bitcoin whales have recently taken profits, with large wallets booking over $44.5 million in profits over the last 48 hours. This activity suggests that a wave of sell-side pressure is affecting the market. Despite this, the overall sentiment remains cautious but optimistic, as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index shows Bitcoin sitting in the “Greed” zone.


On the 4-hour BTC chart, the Bollinger Bands indicate tightening volatility, suggesting that Bitcoin is preparing for a breakout. A move above the upper band near $115,750 could trigger resistance at $118,000. However, if the price gets rejected, there could be renewed downward pressure with support at $112,000.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Bitcoin Price

Source: Trading View

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates neutral-to-slightly bullish momentum, with room for upward movement. Additionally, the MACD shows a potential bullish crossover, signaling a possible shift in momentum if the trend continues.


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